Breaking Democrats are 1 seat away from a Senate majority: 50 of the 51 needed, counting seats not up this year.Nov 3, 11:35 PM ET All updates Follow the live map

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Nov 3, 11:35 PM ET Democrats are 1 seat away from a Senate majority: 50 of the 51 needed, counting seats not up this year.
Nov 3, 11:35 PM ET First results are in from Washington. Follow every race on the live map.
Nov 3, 11:34 PM ET Maine governor's race called: Hannah Pingree (Democrat) wins. Won by 9.6 points.
Nov 3, 11:34 PM ET Wisconsin governor's race called: David Crowley (Democrat) wins. Won by 6.7 points.
Nov 3, 11:34 PM ET Tennessee Senate race called: Bill Hagerty (Republican) wins. Won by 11.5 points.
Nov 3, 11:34 PM ET Ohio Senate race called: Sherrod Brown (Democrat) wins. Won by 2.1 points, a pickup from the Republicans.
Nov 3, 11:21 PM ET Texas governor's race called: Gina Hinojosa (Democrat) wins. Won by 15.2 points, a pickup from the Republicans.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET First results are in from California, Colorado, Idaho, Oregon, and Utah. Follow every race on the live map.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET House flip: Janelle Stelson (D) defeats Scott Perry (R) in PA-10, by 10.0 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET House flip: Don Leonard (D) defeats Mike Carey (R) in OH-15, by 7.2 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET House flip: Paige Cognetti (D) defeats Rob Bresnahan (R) in PA-08, by 10.1 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET New Mexico governor's race called: Deb Haaland (Democrat) wins. Won by 12.1 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET California governor's race called: Xavier Becerra (Democrat) wins. Won by 16.9 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Massachusetts governor's race called: Maura Healey (Democrat) wins. Won by 30.6 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Arkansas governor's race called: Sarah Huckabee Sanders (Republican) wins. Won by 14.4 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Colorado governor's race called: Phil Weiser (Democrat) wins. Won by 28.6 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Oregon Senate race called: Jeff Merkley (Democrat) wins. Won by 17.1 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Colorado Senate race called: John Hickenlooper (Democrat) wins. Won by 25.9 points.
Nov 3, 11:18 PM ET Kansas Senate race called: Adam Hamilton (Democrat) wins. Won by 7.5 points, a pickup from the Republicans.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET House flip: Bob Brooks (D) defeats Ryan Mackenzie (R) in PA-07, by 13.0 points.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET Democrats are 5 seats away from a Senate majority: 46 of the 51 needed, counting seats not up this year.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET Ohio governor's race called: Amy Acton (Democrat) wins. Won by 4.9 points, a pickup from the Republicans.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET South Dakota Senate race called: Mike Rounds (Republican) wins. Won by 28.5 points.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET Arkansas Senate race called: Tom Cotton (Republican) wins. Won by 9.8 points.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET Texas Senate race called: James Talarico (Democrat) wins. Won by 20.6 points, a pickup from the Republicans.
Nov 3, 11:02 PM ET Alabama Senate race called: Barry Moore (Republican) wins. Won by 10.5 points.
Nov 3, 11:00 PM ET It's 11 p.m. ET: polls have closed in California and Washington. First results should start coming in shortly.
Nov 3, 10:31 PM ET New Mexico Senate race called: Ben Ray Luján (Other) wins. Won by 22.3 points, a pickup from the Democrats.
Nov 3, 10:30 PM ET First results are in from New Mexico. Follow every race on the live map.
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET House flip: JoAnna Mendoza (D) defeats Juan Ciscomani (R) in AZ-06, by 16.8 points.

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Average result

Unweighted mean across 8,550 matching polls

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Average result
Choice	%
Approve	33.9%
Disapprove	55%
Unfavorable	48.9%
Favorable	40.5%
Rep	41.8%
Dem	45.9%
Josh Shapiro	11.4%
Gavin Newsom	18.8%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (8,550)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Type	Subject	Sample	Results
2/4/2026	Cygnal	Generic ballot	2026	1,500 LV	Dem 48% Rep 44%
2/4/2026	Cygnal	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,500 LV	Favorable 44% Unfavorable 54%
2/4/2026	EMC Research	Governor race	2026 California	1,400 LV	Chad Bianco (R) 21% Eric Swalwell (D) 18% Steve Hilton (R) 17% Katie Porter (D) 12% Tom Steyer (D) 9% Xavier Becerra (D) 6% Matt Mahan (D) 5% Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 3% Butch Ware (G) 2% Betty Yee (D) 2% Tony Thurmond (D) 1% Ian Calderon (D) 0%
2/4/2026	FM3 Research for Charlie Health	Governor race	2026 Oregon	1,065 LV	Tina Kotek (D) 45% Christine Drazan (R) 40%
2/4/2026	MAD Global Strategy for Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future	Governor race	2026 New York	600 LV	Kathy Hochul (D) 47% Bruce Blakeman (R) 34%
2/4/2026	Quantus Insights	Senate race	2026 Kentucky	870 LV	Andy Barr (R) 28.3% Daniel Cameron (R) 27.4% Nate Morris (R) 16.6%
2/4/2026	The Alabama Poll	Senate race	2026 Alabama	500 LV	Steve Marshall (R) 26% Barry Moore (R) 17.4% Jared Hudson (R) 8.4% Rodney Walker (R) 3.6% Morgan Murphy (R) 1.2%
2/4/2026	The Political Matrix/The Listener Group	House race	2026 FL-20	300 LV	Elijah Manley (D) 38% Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) 35% Dale Holness (D) 10%
2/3/2026	GBAO	Governor race	2026 Texas	1,000 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 46% Gina Hinojosa (D) 43% Pat Dixon (L) 6%
2/3/2026	Global Strategy Group	Governor race	2026 California	— LV	Chad Bianco (R) 18% Steve Hilton (R) 18% Eric Swalwell (D) 14% Katie Porter (D) 12% Tom Steyer (D) 10% Xavier Becerra (D) 4% Matt Mahan (D) 3% Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 3%
2/3/2026	Public Policy Polling for Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association	Senate race	2026 Illinois Democratic	574 LV	Juliana Stratton (D) 23% Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) 34% Robin Kelly (D) 8%
2/3/2026	Public Policy Polling	House race	2026 MN-01	708 RV	Brad Finstad (R) 44% Jake Johnson (D) 41%
2/3/2026	Public Policy Polling for Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association (DLGA)	Senate race	2026 Illinois	574 LV	Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) 34% Juliana Stratton (D) 23% Robin Kelly (D) 8%
2/3/2026	Pulse Decision Science for Lone Star Liberty PAC	Senate race	2026 Texas	801 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 34% John Cornyn (R) 26% Wesley Hunt (R) 18%
2/2/2026	Emerson College for Nexstar	Senate race	2026 Kentucky	381 LV	Charles Booker (D) 30.1% Amy McGrath (D) 18.7% Pamela Stevenson (D) 4.3% Vincent Thompson (D) 1.7% Logan Forsythe (D) 1% Dale Romans (D) 0.8%
2/2/2026	Emerson College for Nexstar	Senate race	2026 Kentucky	523 LV	Andy Barr (R) 23.7% Daniel Cameron (R) 20.7% Nate Morris (R) 14% Michael Faris (R) 1.6% Andrew Shelley (R) 1.4% Wende Kennedy (R) 0.9%
2/2/2026	GQR	House race	2026 NC-01	500 LV	Don Davis (D) 42% Laurie Buckhout (R) 39% Thomas Aaron Bailey (L) 9%
2/2/2026	Glengariff Group, Inc. for Detroit Regional Chamber	Governor race	2026 Michigan	— LV	Mike Duggan (I) 30.1% John James (R) 28.9% Jocelyn Benson (D) 28%
2/2/2026	J.L. Partners	Senate race	2026 Texas	600 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 27% Wesley Hunt (R) 25.7% John Cornyn (R) 25.5%
2/2/2026	Quinnipiac University	Approval	Donald Trump	1,191 RV	Approve 37% Disapprove 56%
2/2/2026	YouGov for The Economist	Approval	Donald Trump	1,504 RV	Approve 42% Disapprove 55%
2/2/2026	YouGov for The Economist	Approval	Donald Trump	1,672 A	Approve 40% Disapprove 54%
2/2/2026	YouGov for The Economist	Generic ballot	2026	1,504 RV	Dem 44% Rep 40%
2/2/2026	YouGov for The Economist	Generic ballot	2026	1,672 A	Dem 36% Rep 34%
2/1/2026	GQR	House race	2026 CT-01	400 LV	John Larson (D) 49% Luke Bronin (D) 26% Jillian Gilchrest (D) 9%