Oregon governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Christine Drazan at 44.3%, Tina Kotek at 46%, Brett Smith at 3.8%, Chris Dudley at 14.1%, based on 12 polls ending between 2/4/2026 and 10/4/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Oregon governor's race 2026 over time
12 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Christine Drazan 44.3%
Tina Kotek 46%
Brett Smith 3.8%
Chris Dudley 14.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Drazan | 44.3% | 12 | 10/4/2026 |
| Tina Kotek | 46% | 9 | 10/4/2026 |
| Brett Smith | 3.8% | 5 | 10/4/2026 |
| Chris Dudley | 14.1% | 3 | 5/13/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 12 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Christine Drazan | 42.1% |
| Tina Kotek | 44.9% |
| Brett Smith | 3.8% |
| Ed Diehl | 22.1% |
| Chris Dudley | 15.4% |
| David Medina | 4.6% |
| Danielle Bethell | 1.7% |
Individual polls (12)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/4/2026 | GBAO | 800 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
Brett Smith (G)
|
| 10/1/2026 |
DHM Research
for The Oregonian/Oregon/Live |
549 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
Brett Smith (G)
|
| 10/1/2026 |
DHM Research
for The Oregonian/OregonLive |
549 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
Brett Smith (G)
|
| 9/27/2026 |
DHM Research
for Oregon Public Broadcasting |
915 LV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Tina Kotek (D)
Brett Smith (G)
|
| 9/11/2026 |
DHM Research
for Grow Oregon |
600 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
|
| 9/9/2026 |
DHM Research
for Grow Oregon |
600 LV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Tina Kotek (D)
Brett Smith (G)
|
| 6/24/2026 | Public Opinion Strategies | 600 RV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Tina Kotek (D)
|
| 5/13/2026 | Predict Oregon | 538 LV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Ed Diehl (R)
Chris Dudley (R)
David Medina (R)
Danielle Bethell (R)
|
| 5/12/2026 | Hoffman Research Group | 603 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
|
| 4/24/2026 |
Hoffman Research Group
for Crosstabs |
620 LV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Ed Diehl (R)
Chris Dudley (R)
|
| 4/17/2026 | Nelson Research | 515 LV |
Christine Drazan (R)
Chris Dudley (R)
Ed Diehl (R)
David Medina (R)
Danielle Bethell (R)
|
| 2/4/2026 |
FM3 Research
for Charlie Health |
1,065 LV |
Tina Kotek (D)
Christine Drazan (R)
|