Massachusetts governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
96% Dem
Rep 4%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Maura Healey | 96% |
| Mike Minogue | 4% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Maura Healey | 96% |
| Michael Minogue | 4% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 90% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 95% | 10/29/2026: 96% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 12% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 4% |
Poll average
4 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Maura Healy
55.2%
Michael Minogue
34%
Andrea James (I)
3.7%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Maura Healey | Democrat |
| Michael Roger Minogue | Republican |
| James | Independent |
Massachusetts governor's race: polls over time
24 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Maura Healey 56%
Brian Shortsleeve 33%
Maura Healy 58%
Mike Minogue 38%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maura Healey | 56% | 13 | 6/12/2026 |
| Brian Shortsleeve | 33% | 10 | 8/12/2026 |
| Maura Healy | 58% | 8 | 10/17/2026 |
| Mike Minogue | 38% | 7 | 6/12/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University | 10/14–10/17 | 500 LV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
Andrea James (I)
|
| University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov | 10/5–10/12 | 800 RV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
Andrea James (I)
|
| MassINC Polling Group | 9/14–9/22 | 800 LV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
Andrea James (I)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 9/17–9/21 | 564 LV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
|
| University of New Hampshire | 8/20–8/24 | 881 LV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
|
| University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov | 8/5–8/12 | 800 RV |
Maura Healy
Brian Shortsleeve (R)
|
| University of New Hampshire | 6/18–6/23 | 623 LV |
Maura Healy
Michael Minogue
|
| University of New Hampshire | 6/18–6/23 | 623 LV |
Maura Healy
Brian Shortsleeve (R)
|
| Suffolk University | 6/8–6/12 | 500 RV |
Maura Healey (D)
Mike Minogue (R)
|
| Suffolk University | 6/8–6/12 | 500 RV |
Maura Healey (D)
Brian Shortsleeve (R)
|