Maine governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
94% Dem
Rep 5%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Hannah Pingree | 95% |
| Robert Charles | 6% | |
| Rick Bennett | 1% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Hannah Pingree | 95% |
| Robert Charles | 5% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 86% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 86% | 10/29/2026: 95% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 12% | 10/29/2026: 6% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 12% | 10/29/2026: 5% |
Poll average
8 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+10.0
Hannah Pingree (D)
49.6%
Bobby Charles (R)
39.6%
Rick Bennett (I)
7.6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Bobby Charles | Republican |
| Hannah Pingree | Democrat |
| Rick Bennett | Independent |
Maine governor's race: polls over time
23 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Hannah Pingree 48.4%
Bobby Charles 39%
Rick Bennett 8.2%
Nirav Shah 47%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Pingree | 48.4% | 22 | 10/25/2026 |
| Bobby Charles | 39% | 19 | 10/25/2026 |
| Rick Bennett | 8.2% | 14 | 10/25/2026 |
| Nirav Shah | 47% | 4 | 6/8/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist University | 10/22–10/25 | 1,449 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| Echelon Insights | 10/16–10/23 | 413 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 10/16–10/20 | 1,514 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| Suffolk University | 10/8–10/11 | 500 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 9/30–10/5 | 800 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| Marist University | 10/1–10/4 | 1,505 RV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| YouGov | 9/23–10/1 | 1,133 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/28–9/30 | 1,240 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research | 9/20–9/22 | 982 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 9/15–9/22 | 619 LV |
Hannah Pingree (D)
Bobby Charles (R)
Rick Bennett (I)
|