Kentucky Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Andy Barr at 49%, Daniel Cameron at 25.5%, Nate Morris at 8.5%, Amy McGrath at 17.9%, based on 20 polls ending between 12/3/2024 and 8/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Kentucky Senate race 2026 over time
20 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Andy Barr 49%
Daniel Cameron 25.5%
Nate Morris 8.5%
Amy McGrath 17.9%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Barr | 49% | 16 | 8/27/2026 |
| Daniel Cameron | 25.5% | 15 | 5/11/2026 |
| Nate Morris | 8.5% | 15 | 5/11/2026 |
| Amy McGrath | 17.9% | 4 | 3/31/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 20 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Andy Barr | 27.1% |
| Daniel Cameron | 33.2% |
| Nate Morris | 9.6% |
| Charles Booker | 34.8% |
| Amy McGrath | 25.4% |
| Michael Faris | 2.9% |
| Pamela Stevenson | 3.5% |
| Logan Forsythe | 1.5% |
Individual polls (20)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Global Strategy Group | 600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Charles Booker (D)
|
| 5/11/2026 | UpONE Insights | 600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
|
| 5/5/2026 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for Keep America Great PAC |
600 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
|
| 3/31/2026 |
Emerson College
for Fox 56 Lexington | Nexstar |
400 LV |
Charles Booker (D)
Amy McGrath (D)
Pamela Stevenson (D)
Dale Romans (D)
Vincent Thompson (D)
Logan Forsythe (D)
|
| 3/31/2026 |
Emerson College
for Fox 56 Lexington | Nexstar |
549 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
George Washington (R)
Valerie Frederick (R)
Anissa Catlett (R)
Jimmy Leon (R)
Andrew Shelley (R)
Jonathan Holliday (R)
|
| 3/12/2026 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for Keep America Great PAC |
600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 2/4/2026 | Quantus Insights | 870 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 2/2/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar |
381 LV |
Charles Booker (D)
Amy McGrath (D)
Pamela Stevenson (D)
Vincent Thompson (D)
Logan Forsythe (D)
Dale Romans (D)
|
| 2/2/2026 |
Emerson College
for Nexstar |
523 LV |
Andy Barr (R)
Daniel Cameron (R)
Nate Morris (R)
Michael Faris (R)
Andrew Shelley (R)
Wende Kennedy (R)
|
| 1/29/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 800 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 1/8/2026 |
OnMessage Inc.
for Kentucky First Action |
600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 12/19/2025 | Public Policy Polling | 648 RV |
Generic Republican (R)
Amy McGrath (D)
|
| 10/18/2025 | Public Policy Polling | 590 LV |
Charles Booker (D)
Amy McGrath (D)
Pamela Stevenson (D)
Logan Forsythe (D)
Joel Willett (D)
|
| 10/14/2025 | UpONE Insights | 600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 10/10/2025 | co/efficient | 911 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 9/4/2025 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for Keep America Great PAC |
600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 8/7/2025 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 600 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 4/15/2025 | McLaughlin & Associates | 500 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 2/26/2025 | co/efficient | 1,134 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|
| 12/3/2024 | co/efficient | 1,298 LV |
Daniel Cameron (R)
Andy Barr (R)
Kelly Craft (R)
Nate Morris (R)
|