Arkansas governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
2% Dem
Rep 98%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Fred Love | 2% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 97% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Fredrick Love | 2% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 97% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 3% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: 2% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 95% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 93% | 10/29/2026: 97% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+19.0
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
51%
Fred Love (D)
32%
Colt Shelby (L)
11%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Fredrick Love | Democrat |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Republican |
| Colt Shelby | Libertarian |
Arkansas governor's race: polls over time
2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Colt Shelby 11%
Fred Love 32%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 51%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Shelby | 11% | 2 | 10/13/2026 |
| Fred Love | 32% | 2 | 10/13/2026 |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 51% | 2 | 10/13/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | 10/8–10/13 | 709 LV |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
Fred Love (D)
Colt Shelby (L)
|
| Hendrix College | 8/11–8/12 | 1,217 LV |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R)
Fred Love (D)
Colt Shelby (L)
|