Alabama Senate race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
2% Dem
Rep 98%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi (opens in a new tab) | Everett Wess | 3% |
| Barry Moore | 98% | |
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Everett Wess | 1% |
| Barry Moore | 99% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 3% | 10/29/2026: 3% |
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 6% | 10/29/2026: 1% |
| Kalshi · Republicans | 5/10/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 94% | 10/29/2026: 99% |
Poll average
4 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+16.3
Barry Moore (R)
52%
Everett Wess (D)
35.6%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | Republican |
| Everett Wess | Democrat |
Alabama Senate race: polls over time
16 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Barry Moore 51.3%
Jared Hudson 27.9%
Steve Marshall 14.8%
Rodney Walker 1.2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 51.3% | 16 | 10/24/2026 |
| Jared Hudson | 27.9% | 11 | 5/17/2026 |
| Steve Marshall | 14.8% | 11 | 5/17/2026 |
| Rodney Walker | 1.2% | 8 | 5/17/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling | 10/22–10/24 | 695 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Everett Wess (D)
|
| Cygnal | 10/16–10/17 | 500 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Everett Wess (D)
|
| The Alabama Poll | 10/15–10/16 | 600 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Everett Wess (D)
|
| RMG Research | 9/21–9/25 | 800 RV |
Barry Moore (R)
Everett Wess (D)
|
| yes. every kid. | 7/8–7/11 | 601 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Everett Wess (D)
|
| Quantus Insights | 5/15–5/17 | 680 LV |
Jared Hudson (R)
Barry Moore (R)
Steve Marshall (R)
Seth Burton (R)
Dale Shelton (R)
Rodney Walker (R)
Morgan Murphy (R)
|
| Remington | 5/5–5/7 | 589 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Jared Hudson (R)
Steve Marshall (R)
Dale Deas Jr. (R)
Rodney Walker (R)
Morgan Murphy (R)
Seth Burton (R)
|
| Tarrance Group | 4/11–4/14 | 500 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Steve Marshall (R)
Jared Hudson (R)
|
| Peak Insights | 4/11–4/13 | 500 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Steve Marshall (R)
Jared Hudson (R)
Rodney Walker (R)
Seth Burton (R)
Dale Deas Jr. (R)
|
| American Pulse Research & Polling | 3/30–4/1 | 505 LV |
Barry Moore (R)
Steve Marshall (R)
Jared Hudson (R)
|