NC-01 House race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Laurie Buckhout at 41%, Don Davis at 46.7%, Thomas Aaron Bailey at 2%, Asa Buck at 22.1%, based on 8 polls ending between 2/2/2026 and 10/8/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
NC-01 House race 2026 over time
8 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Laurie Buckhout 41%
Don Davis 46.7%
Thomas Aaron Bailey 2%
Asa Buck 22.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurie Buckhout | 41% | 8 | 10/8/2026 |
| Don Davis | 46.7% | 7 | 10/8/2026 |
| Thomas Aaron Bailey | 2% | 2 | 10/8/2026 |
| Asa Buck | 22.1% | 1 | 2/8/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 8 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Laurie Buckhout | 39.1% |
| Don Davis | 45.4% |
| Thomas Aaron Bailey | 5.5% |
| Asa Buck | 22.1% |
| Robert Hanig | 10.7% |
| Eric Rouse | 5.1% |
| Ashley-Nicole Russell | 0.5% |
Individual polls (8)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/8/2026 | co/efficient | 623 LV |
Laurie Buckhout (R)
Don Davis (D)
Thomas Aaron Bailey (L)
|
| 10/6/2026 | Neighborhood Research and Media | 303 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
|
| 10/4/2026 | GQR | 500 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
|
| 9/11/2026 |
GBAO
for House Majority PAC |
500 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
|
| 6/28/2026 | GQR | 500 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
|
| 4/29/2026 |
co/efficient
for NRCC |
842 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
|
| 2/8/2026 |
Emerson College
for CBS 17 | Nexstar | WNCT |
500 LV |
Laurie Buckhout (R)
Asa Buck (R)
Robert Hanig (R)
Eric Rouse (R)
Ashley-Nicole Russell (R)
|
| 2/2/2026 | GQR | 500 LV |
Don Davis (D)
Laurie Buckhout (R)
Thomas Aaron Bailey (L)
|