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MN-01 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Brad Finstad at 43.7%, Jake Johnson at 45%, based on 6 polls ending between 2/3/2026 and 10/14/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

MN-01 House race 2026 over time

6 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Brad Finstad 43.7% Jake Johnson 45%
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MN-01 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Brad Finstad 43.7% 6 10/14/2026
Jake Johnson 45% 6 10/14/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 6 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Brad Finstad45.5%
Jake Johnson44.2%

Individual polls (6)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/14/2026 Public Policy Polling
for House Majority PAC
588 LV
Brad Finstad (R)
43%
Jake Johnson (D)
43%
10/12/2026 SurveyUSA
for ABC6
565 LV
Jake Johnson (D)
46%
Brad Finstad (R)
44%
10/9/2026 SurveyUSA
for KAAL-TV
565 LV
Brad Finstad (R)
44%
Jake Johnson (D)
46%
9/21/2026 GBAO Strategies
for House Majority PAC
500 LV
Brad Finstad (R)
46%
Jake Johnson (D)
47%
3/14/2026 Ragnar Research Partners
for Conservatives for America
400 LV
Brad Finstad (R)
52%
Jake Johnson (D)
42%
2/3/2026 Public Policy Polling 708 RV
Brad Finstad (R)
44%
Jake Johnson (D)
41%

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