The 2028 Republican primary
Our average of the national polls from the last 30 days. Almost no one has declared yet: the polls ask about possible candidates. Democratic primary →
The top six over time
118 polls · 30-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Marco Rubio 19.6%
JD Vance 38.7%
Ron DeSantis 8.1%
Donald Trump Jr. 12.8%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6.3%
Robert F. Kennedy 4.8%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 19.6% | 118 | 10/26/2026 |
| JD Vance | 38.7% | 118 | 10/26/2026 |
| Ron DeSantis | 8.1% | 111 | 10/25/2026 |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 12.8% | 84 | 10/26/2026 |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 6.3% | 36 | 9/15/2026 |
| Robert F. Kennedy | 4.8% | 30 | 10/26/2026 |
The field
| # | Candidate | Average | 30 days | Polls | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JD Vance | 38.6% | +0.2 | 118 | Hasn't announced |
| 2 | Marco Rubio | 19.6% | +0.8 | 118 | Hasn't announced |
| 3 | Donald Trump Jr. | 12.8% | −0.2 | 84 | Hasn't announced |
| 4 | Ron DeSantis | 8.1% | +0.6 | 111 | Hasn't announced |
| 5 | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 6.3% | +1.9 | 36 | Hasn't announced |
| 6 | Robert F. Kennedy | 4.8% | +0.8 | 30 | Hasn't announced |
| 7 | Nikki Haley | 3.1% | ±0.0 | 79 | Hasn't announced |
| 8 | Ted Cruz | 2.8% | −0.2 | 84 | Hasn't announced |
| 9 | Greg Abbott | 2.5% | −0.2 | 28 | Hasn't announced |
| 10 | Mike Pence | 2.0% | +1.0 | 8 | Hasn't announced |
| 11 | Tucker Carlson | 2.0% | +0.3 | 53 | Hasn't announced |
| 12 | Josh Hawley | 1.8% | +0.5 | 37 | Hasn't announced |
| 13 | Tim Scott | 1.7% | +0.7 | 57 | Hasn't announced |
| 14 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | 1.5% | +0.5 | 18 | Hasn't announced |
| 15 | Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 1.5% | +0.5 | 43 | Hasn't announced |
| 16 | Tom Cotton | 1.5% | +0.5 | 24 | Hasn't announced |
| 17 | Rand Paul | 1.4% | +0.1 | 17 | Hasn't announced |
| 18 | Brian Kemp | 1.2% | ±0.0 | 21 | Hasn't announced |
| 19 | Vivek Ramaswamy | 1.2% | −1.3 | 81 | Hasn't announced |
| 20 | Eric Trump | 1.0% | +1.0 | 3 | Hasn't announced |
| 21 | Mike Pompeo | 1.0% | ±0.0 | 4 | Hasn't announced |
| 22 | Pete Hegseth | 1.0% | ±0.0 | 3 | Hasn't announced |
| 23 | Rick Scott | 1.0% | ±0.0 | 16 | Hasn't announced |
| 24 | Scott Bessent | 1.0% | +0.4 | 6 | Hasn't announced |
| 25 | Glenn Youngkin | 0.8% | ±0.0 | 72 | Hasn't announced |
| 26 | Lee M. Zeldin | 0.5% | ±0.0 | 4 | Hasn't announced |
| 27 | Spencer J. Cox | 0.5% | +0.5 | 5 | Hasn't announced |
| 28 | Thomas Massie | 0.4% | −1.1 | 12 | Hasn't announced |
| 29 | Kristi Noem | 0.2% | −0.4 | 48 | Hasn't announced |
| 30 | Tulsi Gabbard | 0.1% | −1.0 | 51 | Hasn't announced |
| 31 | Doug Burgum | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 15 | Hasn't announced |
| 32 | Elise Stefanik | 0.0% | −0.3 | 15 | Hasn't announced |
| 33 | Gregory Bovino | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 4 | Exploratory committee |
| 34 | Katie Britt | 0.0% | −1.0 | 5 | Hasn't announced |
| 35 | Larry Hogan | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 10 | Hasn't announced |
| 36 | Spencer Cox | 0.0% | −1.0 | 4 | Hasn't announced |
| 37 | Steve Bannon | -0.0% | −0.2 | 27 | Hasn't announced |
State polls
New Hampshire (10)California (3)Georgia (3)Texas (3)Florida (2)Minnesota (2)North Carolina (2)Ohio (2)Maine (1)Michigan (1)Nevada (1)South Carolina (1)Tennessee (1)Vermont (1)
Latest national polls
- HarrisX/Harris Poll Oct 26, 2026 — JD Vance 40%, Donald Trump Jr. 21%, Marco Rubio 21%
- Leger Oct 25, 2026 — JD Vance 37%, Marco Rubio 16%, Donald Trump Jr. 12%
- Clarity Campaign Labs Oct 21, 2026 — JD Vance 40%, Donald Trump Jr. 17%, Marco Rubio 17%
- Echelon Insights Oct 19, 2026 — JD Vance 38%, Marco Rubio 20%, Ron DeSantis 12%
- The New York Times/Siena University Oct 19, 2026 — JD Vance 33%, Marco Rubio 24%, Donald Trump 8%
- Noble Predictive Insights Oct 7, 2026 — JD Vance 44%, Marco Rubio 18%, Ron DeSantis 8%
- Focaldata Oct 5, 2026 — JD Vance 38%, Marco Rubio 24%, Ron DeSantis 9%
- HarrisX/Harris Poll Sep 28, 2026 — JD Vance 39%, Donald Trump Jr. 24%, Marco Rubio 17%
- McLaughlin & Associates Sep 22, 2026 — JD Vance 35%, Marco Rubio 15%, Donald Trump Jr. 14%
- Echelon Insights Sep 21, 2026 — JD Vance 38%, Marco Rubio 20%, Ron DeSantis 8%
- Clarity Campaign Labs Sep 16, 2026 — JD Vance 35%, Marco Rubio 16%, Ron DeSantis 12%
- Big Data Poll Sep 15, 2026 — JD Vance 38%, Marco Rubio 16%, Ron DeSantis 8%
2028 calendar · Trump approval · 2028 Senate
A simple 30-day rolling average of national polls (VoteHub, The New York Times); only names included in at least three polls are listed. Declared candidates and exploratory committees as of Nov 7, 2026, per Wikipedia.
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