Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.9%, Ron DeSantis at 8.3%, JD Vance at 39%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 139 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

139 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.9% Ron DeSantis 8.3% JD Vance 39% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.9%	138	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.3%	132	10/21/2026
JD Vance	39%	118	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 139 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14.1%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (139)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/26/2026	HarrisX/Harris Poll for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 40% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Marco Rubio (R) 21% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 8% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Tucker Carlson (R) 3%
10/21/2026	Clarity Campaign Labs	413 LV	JD Vance (R) 40% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 17% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Pete Hegseth (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1%
10/19/2026	Echelon Insights	417 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 20% Ron DeSantis (R) 12% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Gregory Bovino (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 0% John Kennedy (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
10/19/2026	The New York Times/Siena University	850 RV	JD Vance (R) 32.9% Marco Rubio (R) 23.5% Donald Trump (R) 8.4% Ron DeSantis (R) 3.3% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 1.4% Tucker Carlson (R) 0.8% Nikki Haley (R) 0.6% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 0.5% Ted Cruz (R) 0.4% Thomas Massie (R) 0.4% John Kennedy (R) 0.3% Mitt Romney (R) 0.2% Tulsi Gabbard (D) 0.2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 0.1%
10/7/2026	Noble Predictive Insights for Center Square	1,137 RV	JD Vance (R) 44% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Greg Abbott (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Mike Pompeo (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Katie Britt (R) 0%
10/5/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	803 LV	JD Vance (R) 38.3% Marco Rubio (R) 24.3% Ron DeSantis (R) 9.3% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4.5% Ted Cruz (R) 2.4% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1.1%
9/28/2026	HarrisX/Harris Poll for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 39% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 24% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 9% Tucker Carlson (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 5%
9/22/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	430 LV	JD Vance (R) 35% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Spencer J. Cox (R) 0% Lee M. Zeldin (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0%
9/21/2026	Echelon Insights	424 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 20% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Gregory Bovino (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
9/16/2026	Clarity Campaign Labs	406 LV	JD Vance (R) 35% Marco Rubio (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 12% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 12% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Pete Hegseth (R) 1%
9/15/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,110 LV	Brian Kemp (R) 1.3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% JD Vance (R) 38.3% Marco Rubio (R) 15.7% Nikki Haley (R) 5.8% Rand Paul (R) 2.3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6.3% Ron DeSantis (R) 8.4% Steve Bannon (R) 0.7% Ted Cruz (R) 3.9% Tucker Carlson (R) 2.3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1.3%
9/13/2026	The Honest Poll for Veteran Action	570 LV	JD Vance (R) 41% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 22% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1%
9/2/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	662 LV	JD Vance (R) 43.1% Marco Rubio (R) 21.1% Ron DeSantis (R) 8.5% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 6.6% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4.5% Ted Cruz (R) 4.3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2.2% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.4%
9/1/2026	Bowling Green State University Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov	499 LV	JD Vance (R) 44% Marco Rubio (R) 21% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Eric Trump (R) 1%
8/30/2026	HarrisX/Harris Poll for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 44% Marco Rubio (R) 21% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 3%
8/30/2026	Morning Consult	559 RV	JD Vance (R) 31% Marco Rubio (R) 19% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Greg Abbott (R) 4% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
8/28/2026	Quantus Insights	473 LV	JD Vance (R) 41% Marco Rubio (R) 29.1% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 9.1% Ron DeSantis (R) 6.3% Tucker Carlson (R) 0.3%
8/24/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	433 LV	JD Vance (R) 32% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Marco Rubio (R) 12% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Tom Cotton (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Rick Scott (R) 1% Lee M. Zeldin (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Spencer J. Cox (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0%
8/17/2026	Echelon Insights	423 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Gregory Bovino (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
8/16/2026	Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square	930 RV	JD Vance (R) 41% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Greg Abbott (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Katie Britt (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Mike Pompeo (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
8/10/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	679 LV	JD Vance (R) 44.7% Marco Rubio (R) 19.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 8.3% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 7.5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5.1% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3.1% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.4%
7/29/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,094 LV	JD Vance (R) 37.7% Marco Rubio (R) 15.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.3% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 6.4% Nikki Haley (R) 5.3% Ted Cruz (R) 4.8% Brian Kemp (R) 2.5% Tucker Carlson (R) 2.3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1.3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1.2% Rand Paul (R) 1.1% Steve Bannon (R) 1.1%
7/22/2026	Clarity Campaign Labs	408 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5% Tucker Carlson (R) 4% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2%
7/21/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	438 LV	JD Vance (R) 35% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 16% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Lee M. Zeldin (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Spencer J. Cox (R) 0%
7/20/2026	Emerson College	459 LV	JD Vance (R) 39% Marco Rubio (R) 37.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 4.9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 4.5% Ted Cruz (R) 2.3% Tucker Carlson (R) 0.9% Nikki Haley (R) 0.5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 0.3%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (139)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (139)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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