Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.3%, Ron DeSantis at 8.1%, JD Vance at 38.7%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 140 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

140 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.3% Ron DeSantis 8.1% JD Vance 38.7% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.3%	139	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.1%	133	10/25/2026
JD Vance	38.7%	119	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 140 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (140)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
7/20/2026	Emerson College	459 LV	JD Vance (R) 39% Marco Rubio (R) 37.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 4.9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 4.5% Ted Cruz (R) 2.3% Tucker Carlson (R) 0.9% Nikki Haley (R) 0.5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 0.3%
7/20/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	543 LV	JD Vance (R) 48% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 12% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Spencer Pratt (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1%
7/13/2026	Echelon Insights	423 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Gregory Bovino (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
7/12/2026	HarrisX/Harris Poll for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 42% Marco Rubio (R) 22% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 6% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Ron DeSantis (R) 0%
7/10/2026	YouGov	369 A	JD Vance (R) 32% Marco Rubio (R) 19% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 11% Ron DeSantis (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Mike Pence (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 0% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Brian Kemp (R) 0%
7/7/2026	Quantus Insights	480 LV	JD Vance (R) 42.2% Marco Rubio (R) 25.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 8.7% Ted Cruz (R) 3.7% Nikki Haley (R) 2.5%
7/6/2026	Manhattan Institute	— LV	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 20% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 9% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 2% Thomas Massie (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Pete Hegseth (R) 1% Nikki Haley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
7/4/2026	Zogby Analytics	375 LV	JD Vance (R) 51.4% Marco Rubio (R) 13.3% Ron DeSantis (R) 12.6% Ted Cruz (R) 5.2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 3.3% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 2.6% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1.5%
6/30/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	737 RV	JD Vance (R) 39.5% Marco Rubio (R) 17.9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.1% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5.2% Tucker Carlson (R) 2.3% Thomas Massie (R) 1.9% Ted Cruz (R) 1.8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1.7%
6/28/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,166 LV	JD Vance (R) 36.6% Marco Rubio (R) 17.5% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 6.6% Ted Cruz (R) 4.6% Nikki Haley (R) 3.6% Rand Paul (R) 2.6% Brian Kemp (R) 2.1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.6% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1.5% Steve Bannon (R) 1.5% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1.5%
6/26/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	517 LV	JD Vance (R) 51% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Ted Cruz (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Spencer Pratt (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1%
6/23/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	440 LV	JD Vance (R) 35% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Lee M. Zeldin (R) 0% Spencer J. Cox (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
6/14/2026	Echelon Insights	466 LV	JD Vance (R) 42% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 7% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Tim Scott (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 0%
6/9/2026	Echelon Insights for Washington Free Beacon	1,121 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 19% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0% Josh Hawley (R) 0%
6/4/2026	Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square	1,064 RV	JD Vance (R) 36% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Katie Britt (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Mike Pompeo (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
6/1/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	632 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 10% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Thomas Massie (R) 2%
6/1/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	641 RV	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Thomas Massie (R) 2%
5/31/2026	HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 45% Marco Rubio (R) 21% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Tucker Carlson (R) 5%
5/29/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	667 A	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 10% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Thomas Massie (R) 2%
5/28/2026	TIPP Insights for Issues & Insights	561 RV	JD Vance (R) 29% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Marco Rubio (R) 12% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Mike Pence (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 0% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 0%
5/27/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,148 LV	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1%
5/27/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,247 RV	JD Vance (R) 36% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1%
5/25/2026	Emerson College	432 LV	JD Vance (R) 35.5% Marco Rubio (R) 34.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 5.4% Nikki Haley (R) 4.6% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3.1% Ted Cruz (R) 0.7%
5/20/2026	Overton Insights	— LV	JD Vance (R) 39% Marco Rubio (R) 32% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Josh Hawley (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Tom Cotton (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 0% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0% Ted Cruz (R) 0% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 0%
5/19/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	496 LV	JD Vance (R) 47% Marco Rubio (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Tim Scott (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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