Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.3%, Ron DeSantis at 8.1%, JD Vance at 38.7%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 140 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

140 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.3% Ron DeSantis 8.1% JD Vance 38.7% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.3%	139	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.1%	133	10/25/2026
JD Vance	38.7%	119	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 140 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (140)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
5/18/2026	Echelon Insights	418 LV	JD Vance (R) 36% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 12% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 6% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
5/18/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	431 LV	JD Vance (R) 32% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Spencer Cox 0% Lee Zeldin 0%
5/17/2026	Lord Ashcroft Polls	3,804 A	JD Vance (R) 32% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 22% Marco Rubio (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1%
5/7/2026	AtlasIntel	— A	Marco Rubio (R) 45% JD Vance (R) 30% Ron DeSantis (R) 11% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 0% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 0%
5/5/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	1,291 RV	JD Vance (R) 40% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15.2% Marco Rubio (R) 13.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.5% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5.3% Ted Cruz (R) 2.8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2.4% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.8% Thomas Massie (R) 0.6%
5/5/2026	Focaldata for Financial Times	1,352 A	JD Vance (R) 40.3% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15.3% Marco Rubio (R) 13.4% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5.7% Ted Cruz (R) 2.8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2.3% Tucker Carlson (R) 1.7% Thomas Massie (R) 0.6%
4/26/2026	HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 48% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Marco Rubio (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Tucker Carlson (R) 4%
4/23/2026	Verasight	802 A	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 16% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1%
4/20/2026	Echelon Insights	467 LV	JD Vance (R) 42% Marco Rubio (R) 14% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 10% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
4/15/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	422 LV	JD Vance (R) 35% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15% Marco Rubio (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Spencer Cox 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
4/13/2026	YouGov	825 A	JD Vance (R) 36% Marco Rubio (R) 13% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Mike Pence (R) 2% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Nikki Haley (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0%
3/26/2026	HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 42% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 20% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 10%
3/23/2026	Yale Youth Poll	1,224 RV	JD Vance (R) 43% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 9% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Mike Pence (R) 4% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Katie Britt (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
3/20/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	512 LV	JD Vance (R) 50% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Scott Bessent (R) 0%
3/16/2026	Echelon Insights	474 LV	JD Vance (R) 40% Marco Rubio (R) 16% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 9% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
3/10/2026	Focaldata	560 RV	JD Vance (R) 47% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Thomas Massie (R) 1%
3/10/2026	Focaldata	596 A	JD Vance (R) 46% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Thomas Massie (R) 1%
3/9/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	440 LV	JD Vance (R) 36% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15% Marco Rubio (R) 10% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Spencer Cox 1% Tim Scott (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
3/5/2026	Noble Predictive Insights for Center Square	1,177 RV	JD Vance (R) 36% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Marco Rubio (R) 9% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Mike Pompeo (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Katie Britt (R) 0%
3/3/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	— RV	JD Vance (R) 53% Marco Rubio (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
2/28/2026	The Public Sentiment Institute	104 LV	JD Vance (R) 45% Marco Rubio (R) 19% Tucker Carlson (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Thomas Massie (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1%
2/28/2026	The Public Sentiment Institute	130 RV	JD Vance (R) 39% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Tucker Carlson (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Ron DeSantis (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Thomas Massie (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0%
2/27/2026	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	612 LV	JD Vance (R) 53.4% Marco Rubio (R) 13.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 6.7% Ted Cruz (R) 3.4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3.1% Nikki Haley (R) 2.9% Tim Scott (R) 1.3% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 0.8% Elise Stefanik (R) 0.5% Steve Bannon (R) 0.5%
2/27/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	442 LV	JD Vance (R) 42% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Marco Rubio (R) 8% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 4% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2%
2/26/2026	HarrisX/Harris for Harvard CAPS	— RV	JD Vance (R) 43% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 27% Marco Rubio (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Tucker Carlson (R) 3%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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