Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.3%, Ron DeSantis at 8.1%, JD Vance at 38.7%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 140 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

140 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.3% Ron DeSantis 8.1% JD Vance 38.7% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.3%	139	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.1%	133	10/25/2026
JD Vance	38.7%	119	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 140 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (140)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
2/23/2026	Echelon Insights	436 LV	JD Vance (R) 37% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 14% Marco Rubio (R) 11% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
2/22/2026	Emerson College	454 LV	JD Vance (R) 51.5% Marco Rubio (R) 19.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 6.1% Nikki Haley (R) 2.7% Ted Cruz (R) 1.4% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3.8%
2/18/2026	Bowling Green State University/YouGov	463 RV	JD Vance (R) 51% Marco Rubio (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Rand Paul (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0% Eric Trump (R) 0%
2/10/2026	Focaldata	406 LV	JD Vance (R) 49% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Marco Rubio (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
1/29/2026	HarrisX/Harris Poll for Harvard CAPS	2,000 RV	JD Vance (R) 53% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Marco Rubio (R) 17% Tucker Carlson (R) 5%
1/29/2026	TIPP Insights for Issues & Insights	478 RV	JD Vance (R) 43% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 18% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Mike Pence (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
1/27/2026	McLaughlin & Associates	442 LV	JD Vance (R) 42% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Tim Scott (R) 0% Spencer J. Cox (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Rick Scott (R) 0%
1/26/2026	Echelon Insights	466 LV	JD Vance (R) 40% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 12% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Tucker Carlson (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
1/26/2026	Focaldata	726 LV	JD Vance (R) 52% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Marco Rubio (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Nikki Haley (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 4%
1/24/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,306 LV	Glenn Youngkin (R) 2.2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1.9% Ted Cruz (R) 3.9% Nikki Haley (R) 5.4% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6.8% Marco Rubio (R) 6.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 9.5% JD Vance (R) 46%
1/14/2026	YouGov	743 A	JD Vance (R) 41% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 11% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Mike Pence (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1% Nikki Haley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 0%
1/7/2026	Zogby Analytics	340 LV	JD Vance (R) 58% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Marco Rubio (R) 8% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 4% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2%
12/19/2025	AtlasIntel	2,315 A	JD Vance (R) 46.7% Marco Rubio (R) 22.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 13.4% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 1.6% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1.5% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 0.5% Brian Kemp (R) 0.4% Tim Scott (R) 0.2% Kristi Noem (R) 0.1%
12/19/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	1,000 LV	JD Vance (R) 34% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 26% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Rick Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Spencer Cox 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1%
12/15/2025	Echelon Insights	426 LV	JD Vance (R) 45% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 12% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1%
12/12/2025	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	1,337 LV	JD Vance (R) 45% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2%
11/24/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	1,000 LV	JD Vance (R) 34% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 24% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Rick Scott (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1%
11/17/2025	Echelon Insights	472 LV	JD Vance (R) 47% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Marco Rubio (R) 8% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1%
11/11/2025	Yale Youth Poll	3,426 RV	JD Vance (R) 51% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Tucker Carlson (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3%
11/9/2025	Morning Consult	936 RV	JD Vance (R) 42% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Marco Rubio (R) 3%
11/9/2025	YouGov	785 A	JD Vance (R) 42% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 13% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Mike Pence (R) 1% Nikki Haley (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 0%
11/4/2025	Emerson College	420 RV	JD Vance (R) 22.5% Donald Trump (R) 3.1% Marco Rubio (R) 2.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 0.7%
10/29/2025	Overton Insights/Targoz Market Research	444 RV	JD Vance (R) 34% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 22% Ron DeSantis (R) 12% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 5%
10/27/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	1,000 LV	JD Vance (R) 38% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 20% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Tim Scott (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Tom Cotton (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Rick Scott (R) 0%
10/20/2025	Echelon Insights	400 LV	J.D. Vance 46% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Josh Hawley (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

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