Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.3%, Ron DeSantis at 8.1%, JD Vance at 38.7%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 140 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

140 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.3% Ron DeSantis 8.1% JD Vance 38.7% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.3%	139	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.1%	133	10/25/2026
JD Vance	38.7%	119	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 140 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (140)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners	325 RV	JD Vance (R) 41% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Eric Trump (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
10/6/2025	Noble Predictive Insights for The Center Square	1,156 RV	J.D. Vance 38% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 25% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1%
9/29/2025	Leger	294 A	J.D. Vance 50% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 6% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 6% Glenn Youngkin (R) 4% Tim Scott (R) 2% Brian Kemp (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 1%
9/22/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	470 LV	J.D. Vance 42% Donald Trump, Jr. 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 0% Greg Abbott (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Larry Hogan (R) 0%
9/16/2025	AtlasIntel	1,066 A	J.D. Vance 54.6% Ron DeSantis (R) 16.3% Marco Rubio (R) 12.2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5.7% Tim Scott (R) 1.6% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 1.2% Brian Kemp (R) 0.3% Tom Cotton (R) 0.3% Kristi Noem (R) 0.1%
9/8/2025	YouGov	408 A	JD Vance (R) 44% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 10% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Mike Pence (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1%
8/31/2025	Leger	308 A	JD Vance (R) 50% Marco Rubio (R) 9% Ted Cruz (R) 8% Tim Scott (R) 4% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 4% Brian Kemp (R) 2% Rand Paul (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1%
8/26/2025	Emerson College	410 RV	JD Vance (R) 51.7% Marco Rubio (R) 9.4% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.1% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4.5% Nikki Haley (R) 3.8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2.8% Ted Cruz (R) 2.4% Brian Kemp (R) 2.2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1.5% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0.9% Kristi Noem (R) 0.8%
8/26/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	457 LV	JD Vance (R) 36% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Rick Scott (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
8/18/2025	Echelon Insights	441 LV	JD Vance (R) 43% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 9% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Tim Scott (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
7/18/2025	AtlasIntel	— A	JD Vance (R) 57.9% Ron DeSantis (R) 13.2% Marco Rubio (R) 9.7% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 4.6% Tim Scott (R) 2.6% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1.8% Kristi Noem (R) 1.4% Greg Abbott (R) 0.9% Tom Cotton (R) 0.2% Brian Kemp (R) 0.2%
7/14/2025	Echelon Insights	463 LV	JD Vance (R) 42% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Josh Hawley (R) 0%
7/14/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	459 LV	JD Vance (R) 31% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0%
6/26/2025	Targoz Market Research for Overton Insights	444 RV	JD Vance (R) 32% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 26% Ron DeSantis (R) 11% Marco Rubio (R) 9% Nikki Haley (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3%
6/25/2025	Emerson College	416 RV	JD Vance (R) 45.6% Marco Rubio (R) 12% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4.9% Kristi Noem (R) 2.4% Nikki Haley (R) 2.1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0.8% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0.5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 0.5% Brian Kemp (R) 0.3% Scott Bessent (R) 0.2% Ted Cruz (R) 0.1%
6/15/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	455 LV	JD Vance (R) 36% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Rick Scott (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
5/27/2025	AtlasIntel	— A	JD Vance (R) 37.3% Marco Rubio (R) 18.7% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 8.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5.3% Tim Scott (R) 2.2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1.1% Tom Cotton (R) 0.9% Greg Abbott (R) 0.8% Brian Kemp (R) 0.7% Kristi Noem (R) 0.5%
5/26/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	457 LV	JD Vance (R) 34% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 19% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Tom Cotton (R) 0%
5/14/2025	J.L. Partners	975 RV	JD Vance (R) 46% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 7% Ted Cruz (R) 6% Marco Rubio (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 0%
5/12/2025	Echelon Insights	426 LV	JD Vance (R) 44% Nikki Haley (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 6% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Glenn Youngkin (R) 3% Tim Scott (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Josh Hawley (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0%
4/29/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	456 LV	JD Vance (R) 43% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 14% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 0% Tom Cotton (R) 0%
4/28/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	— RV	Donald Trump (R) 39% JD Vance (R) 19% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Marco Rubio (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
4/23/2025	YouGov for The Times of London	365 RV	J.D. Vance 34% Donald Trump (R) 15% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 5% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% Tim Scott (R) 1%
4/23/2025	YouGov for The Times of London	463 A	J.D. Vance 31% Donald Trump (R) 16% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Steve Bannon (R) 0% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 5% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Tim Scott (R) 1%
4/14/2025	AtlasIntel	— A	J.D. Vance 59.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 8.8% Marco Rubio (R) 8.6% Kristi Noem (R) 8% Tucker Carlson (R) 4.6% Glenn Youngkin (R) 3.4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1.3%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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