Topic

2028 Republican Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Marco Rubio at 19.3%, Ron DeSantis at 8.1%, JD Vance at 38.7%, Vivek Ramaswamy at 0.8%, based on 140 polls ending between 1/18/2024 and 10/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

140 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Marco Rubio 19.3% Ron DeSantis 8.1% JD Vance 38.7% Vivek Ramaswamy 0.8%

View data as table

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Marco Rubio	19.3%	139	10/26/2026
Ron DeSantis	8.1%	133	10/25/2026
JD Vance	38.7%	119	10/26/2026
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.8%	101	10/19/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 140 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Marco Rubio	12.6%
Ron DeSantis	8%
JD Vance	40.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy	3%
Nikki Haley	4%
Ted Cruz	3%
Donald Trump Jr.	14%
Glenn Youngkin	1%

Individual polls (140)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
4/14/2025	Echelon Insights	476 LV	J.D. Vance 47% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Steve Bannon (R) 0%
4/3/2025	Yale Youth Poll	— RV	J.D. Vance 53.1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8.7% Ron DeSantis (R) 7.5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4.1% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 3.5% Nikki Haley (R) 3.5% Ted Cruz (R) 3.2% Marco Rubio (R) 2.8% Tim Scott (R) 1.9% Josh Hawley (R) 1.6% Brian Kemp (R) 1.6% Steve Bannon (R) 1.4% Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) 1.3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0.4%
4/1/2025	YouGov for The Economist	633 A	J.D. Vance 43% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 11% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ted Cruz (R) 2% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 2% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1%
3/28/2025	Targoz Market Research for Overton Insights	536 RV	J.D. Vance 36% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 31% Ron DeSantis (R) 13% Vivek Ramswamy 6% Marco Rubio (R) 6%
3/13/2025	Echelon Insights	450 LV	J.D. Vance 46% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Nikki Haley (R) 7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Sean Duffy 0% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 0%
2/18/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	468 LV	J.D. Vance 37% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 17% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Vivek Ramswamy 4% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Marco Rubio (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Larry Hogan (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
2/13/2025	Echelon Insights	472 LV	J.D. Vance 39% Ron DeSantis (R) 10% Nikki Haley (R) 8% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Marco Rubio (R) 4% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Doug Burgum (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Katie Britt (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
2/3/2025	J.L. Partners	1,000 RV	J.D. Vance 57% Ron DeSantis (R) 13% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 8% Ted Cruz (R) 6% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Tim Scott (R) 3% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1%
1/27/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	453 LV	J.D. Vance 27% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 3% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Marco Rubio (R) 3% Greg Abbott (R) 2% Nikki Haley (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Larry Hogan (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0.3% Tom Cotton (R) 0.2% Rick Scott (R) 0.2%
12/16/2024	McLaughlin & Associates	463 LV	J.D. Vance 25% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 21% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Tim Scott (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Rick Scott (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0.4% Larry Hogan (R) 0.2%
12/8/2024	Morning Consult	994 RV	Donald Trump Jr. (R) 30% J.D. Vance 30% Ron DeSantis (R) 9% Nikki Haley (R) 6% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 5% Greg Abbott (R) 1% Tucker Carlson (R) 1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 1% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Marco Rubio (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1%
11/22/2024	Emerson College	420 A	J.D. Vance 29.6% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 22.8% Ron DeSantis (R) 5.2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2.8% Nikki Haley (R) 1.7% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1.5% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 1% Marco Rubio (R) 0.8% Candace Owens (R) 0.6% Ted Cruz (R) 0.5% Elon Musk 0.4% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0.4%
11/18/2024	Echelon Insights	475 LV	J.D. Vance 37% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 9% Nikki Haley (R) 9% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Ted Cruz (R) 5% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Katie Britt (R) 0% Doug Burgum (R) 0% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
7/21/2024	Echelon Insights	395 LV	JD Vance (R) 25% Ron DeSantis (R) 14% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 10% Nikki Haley (R) 9% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 3% Josh Hawley (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 2% Marco Rubio (R) 2% Katie Britt (R) 1% Byron Donalds (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1%
1/18/2024	Echelon Insights	832 LV	Ron DeSantis (R) 27% Nikki Haley (R) 19% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 18% Tucker Carlson (R) 6% Greg Abbott (R) 3% Kari Lake (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Brian Kemp (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 1% Byron Donalds (R) 1% Tom Cotton (R) 1% JD Vance (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Katie Britt (R) 0%

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2028 Republican Presidential primary

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

2028 Republican Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (140)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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