Kansas governor's race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
28% Dem
Rep 72%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Cindy Holscher | 28% |
| Ty Masterson | 72% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 33% | 10/28/2026: 28% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 60% | 10/28/2026: 72% |
Poll average
4 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+3.0
Ty Masterson (R)
48.8%
Cindy Holscher (D)
45.8%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Cindy Holscher | Democrat |
| Ty Masterson | Republican |
Kansas governor's race: polls over time
10 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Cindy Holscher 45.5%
Ty Masterson 47%
Ethan Corson 10%
Curt Skoog 7%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cindy Holscher | 45.5% | 10 | 10/21/2026 |
| Ty Masterson | 47% | 8 | 10/21/2026 |
| Ethan Corson | 10% | 2 | 6/15/2026 |
| Curt Skoog | 7% | 1 | 6/15/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | 10/18–10/21 | 600 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| YouGov | 9/24–10/4 | 2,252 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| The New York Times/Siena University | 9/22–9/30 | 605 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| Wedgewood Polls | 9/22–9/24 | 500 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| Emerson College | 9/15–9/16 | 750 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 9/13–9/16 | 800 LV |
Cindy Holscher (D)
Ty Masterson (R)
|
| co/efficient | 9/8–9/10 | 915 LV |
Ty Masterson (R)
Cindy Holscher (D)
|
| Global Strategy Group | 8/13–8/16 | 600 LV |
Cindy Holscher (D)
Ty Masterson (R)
|
| Change Research | 6/11–6/15 | 1,022 LV |
Cindy Holscher (D)
Ethan Corson (D)
Curt Skoog (D)
|
| Public Policy Polling | 1/8–1/9 | 699 LV |
Cindy Holscher (D)
Ethan Corson (D)
|