2028 Republican (Texas) Presidential primary
Our 21-day average puts JD Vance at 40.6%, Marco Rubio at 16%, Ron DeSantis at 4.8%, Ted Cruz at 6.5%, based on 3 polls ending between 8/12/2025 and 9/26/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
2028 Republican (Texas) Presidential primary over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
JD Vance 40.6%
Marco Rubio 16%
Ron DeSantis 4.8%
Ted Cruz 6.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance | 40.6% | 3 | 9/26/2026 |
| Marco Rubio | 16% | 3 | 9/26/2026 |
| Ron DeSantis | 4.8% | 3 | 9/26/2026 |
| Ted Cruz | 6.5% | 3 | 9/26/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 3 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| JD Vance | 38% |
| Marco Rubio | 17.1% |
| Ron DeSantis | 7.4% |
| Ted Cruz | 7.3% |
| Robert F. Kennedy | 5.8% |
| Tucker Carlson | 3.5% |
| Nikki Haley | 3% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 2.3% |
Individual polls (3)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/26/2026 |
Big Data Poll
for Public Polling Project |
376 LV |
JD Vance (R)
Marco Rubio (R)
Robert F. Kennedy (R)
Ted Cruz (R)
Ron DeSantis (R)
Tulsi Gabbard (R)
Rand Paul (R)
Glenn Youngkin (R)
Nikki Haley (R)
Steve Bannon (R)
Brian Kemp (R)
Tucker Carlson (R)
|
| 8/26/2026 |
Overton Insights
for Texas Public Policy Foundation |
574 LV |
Marco Rubio (R)
JD Vance (R)
Ron DeSantis (R)
Ted Cruz (R)
Tucker Carlson (R)
Donald Trump Jr. (R)
|
| 8/12/2025 | Emerson College | 505 RV |
JD Vance (R)
Ted Cruz (R)
Ron DeSantis (R)
Marco Rubio (R)
Robert F. Kennedy (R)
Nikki Haley (R)
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
Glenn Youngkin (R)
Tulsi Gabbard (R)
Kristi Noem (R)
Brian Kemp (R)
Scott Bessent (R)
|