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2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts JD Vance at 38%, Marco Rubio at 38%, Ron DeSantis at 5%, Ted Cruz at 1%, based on 10 polls ending between 8/27/2025 and 10/20/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary over time

10 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

JD Vance 38% Marco Rubio 38% Ron DeSantis 5% Ted Cruz 1%

View data as table

2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
JD Vance	38%	10	10/20/2026
Marco Rubio	38%	10	10/20/2026
Ron DeSantis	5%	10	10/20/2026
Ted Cruz	1%	10	10/20/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 10 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
JD Vance	46%
Marco Rubio	17.7%
Ron DeSantis	5.7%
Ted Cruz	0.7%
Nikki Haley	6.6%
Glenn Youngkin	0.7%
Tulsi Gabbard	4%
Vivek Ramaswamy	2.6%

Individual polls (10)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/20/2026	St. Anselm	734 LV	Marco Rubio (R) 38% JD Vance (R) 38% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 4% Ted Cruz (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1%
7/20/2026	University of New Hampshire	573 LV	JD Vance (R) 36% Marco Rubio (R) 26% Rand Paul (R) 8% Nikki Haley (R) 8% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 4% John Kennedy (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 1% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Tim Scott (R) 0% Brian Kemp (R) 0% Ted Cruz (R) 0% Tom Cotton (R) 0%
6/25/2026	St. Anselm	739 RV	JD Vance (R) 37% Marco Rubio (R) 30% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 0% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 0%
5/13/2026	Praecones Analytica for NH Journal	350 RV	JD Vance (R) 42.7% Donald Trump Jr. (R) 15.3% Marco Rubio (R) 10.2% Nikki Haley (R) 8.5% Ron DeSantis (R) 5.1% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3.6% Mike Pence (R) 3.5% Ted Cruz (R) 0.8% Tucker Carlson (R) 0.7% Rand Paul (R) 0.3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0.2%
3/23/2026	Emerson College	529 LV	JD Vance (R) 42.8% Marco Rubio (R) 17.7% Nikki Haley (R) 6.2% Ron DeSantis (R) 4.5% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 3.1% Ted Cruz (R) 2.6%
3/18/2026	St. Anselm	665 RV	JD Vance (R) 46% Marco Rubio (R) 27% Nikki Haley (R) 5% Ron DeSantis (R) 5% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 2% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 2% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1%
2/16/2026	University of New Hampshire	664 LV	JD Vance (R) 53% Nikki Haley (R) 9% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Ron DeSantis (R) 6% Rand Paul (R) 5% Tim Scott (R) 3% Tulsi Gabbard (D) 2% Josh Hawley (R) 1% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0% Tom Cotton (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 0% Ted Cruz (R) 0% Brian Kemp (R) 0%
11/19/2025	St. Anselm	1,000 RV	JD Vance (R) 57% Marco Rubio (R) 9% Ron DeSantis (R) 7% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 4% Nikki Haley (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 4% Glenn Youngkin (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 1%
10/21/2025	University of New Hampshire	689 LV	JD Vance (R) 51% Nikki Haley (R) 9% Tulsi Gabbard (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 5% Rand Paul (R) 4% Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Ron DeSantis (R) 3% Tom Cotton (R) 1% Tim Scott (R) 1% Ted Cruz (R) 0% Brian Kemp (R) 0% Kristi Noem (R) 0% Glenn Youngkin (R) 0%
8/27/2025	St. Anselm	791 RV	JD Vance (R) 56% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Tulsi Gabbard (D) 5% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Liz Cheney (R) 3% Robert F. Kennedy (R) 2% Ted Cruz (R) 1%

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2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary

2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (10)

2028 Republican (New Hampshire) Presidential primary over time

Average result

Individual polls (10)

The Polling Desk Briefing

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