The 2028 Democratic primary
Our average of the national polls from the last 30 days. Almost no one has declared yet: the polls ask about possible candidates. Republican primary →
The top six over time
125 polls · 30-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Gavin Newsom 14.8%
Kamala Harris 26.3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9.5%
Pete Buttigieg 9.7%
Mark Kelly 5.6%
Jon Ossoff 6%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Newsom | 14.8% | 125 | 10/26/2026 |
| Kamala Harris | 26.3% | 124 | 10/26/2026 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.5% | 124 | 10/26/2026 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 9.7% | 117 | 10/26/2026 |
| Mark Kelly | 5.6% | 64 | 10/25/2026 |
| Jon Ossoff | 6% | 48 | 10/26/2026 |
The field
| # | Candidate | Average | 30 days | Polls | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kamala Harris | 26.3% | +0.3 | 124 | Hasn't announced |
| 2 | Gavin Newsom | 14.8% | +0.2 | 125 | Hasn't announced |
| 3 | Pete Buttigieg | 9.7% | −2.5 | 117 | Hasn't announced |
| 4 | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 9.5% | −0.2 | 124 | Hasn't announced |
| 5 | Jon Ossoff | 6.0% | −3.1 | 48 | Hasn't announced |
| 6 | Mark Kelly | 5.6% | −1.9 | 64 | Hasn't announced |
| 7 | Josh Shapiro | 4.9% | −0.1 | 118 | Hasn't announced |
| 8 | Cory Booker | 3.1% | −0.5 | 75 | Hasn't announced |
| 9 | Elizabeth Warren | 3.0% | ±0.0 | 8 | Hasn't announced |
| 10 | JB Pritzker | 3.0% | +0.1 | 98 | Hasn't announced |
| 11 | Mark Cuban | 3.0% | +1.0 | 9 | Hasn't announced |
| 12 | James Talarico | 2.8% | – | 3 | Hasn't announced |
| 13 | Andy Beshear | 2.2% | −0.7 | 76 | Hasn't announced |
| 14 | Bernie Sanders | 1.8% | −5.2 | 12 | Hasn't announced |
| 15 | Stephen A. Smith | 1.1% | −0.7 | 33 | Hasn't announced |
| 16 | Zohran Mamdani | 1.1% | −2.9 | 3 | Hasn't announced |
| 17 | Amy Klobuchar | 1.0% | +0.5 | 36 | Hasn't announced |
| 18 | Gretchen Whitmer | 1.0% | −1.1 | 79 | Hasn't announced |
| 19 | Jon Stewart | 1.0% | −0.3 | 15 | Hasn't announced |
| 20 | Phil Murphy | 1.0% | ±0.0 | 6 | Hasn't announced |
| 21 | Raphael Warnock | 1.0% | ±0.0 | 23 | Hasn't announced |
| 22 | Wes Moore | 0.9% | −0.3 | 60 | Hasn't announced |
| 23 | Tim Walz | 0.8% | −1.1 | 52 | Hasn't announced |
| 24 | Chris Murphy | 0.7% | ±0.0 | 23 | Hasn't announced |
| 25 | Chris Van Hollen | 0.5% | +0.5 | 4 | Hasn't announced |
| 26 | John Fetterman | 0.5% | ±0.0 | 19 | Hasn't announced |
| 27 | Rahm Emanuel | 0.5% | −0.1 | 47 | Hasn't announced |
| 28 | Jared Polis | 0.3% | ±0.0 | 30 | Hasn't announced |
| 29 | Ro Khanna | 0.3% | −0.6 | 34 | Hasn't announced |
| 30 | Beto O’Rourke | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 6 | Hasn't announced |
| 31 | Deval Patrick | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 6 | Hasn't announced |
| 32 | Jasmine Crockett | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 20 | Hasn't announced |
| 33 | Philip Murphy | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 9 | Hasn't announced |
| 34 | Roy Cooper | 0.0% | ±0.0 | 16 | Hasn't announced |
| 35 | Ruben Gallego | -0.0% | −0.5 | 24 | Hasn't announced |
State polls
New Hampshire (9)California (7)Texas (3)Michigan (2)North Carolina (2)Ohio (2)Alaska (1)Georgia (1)Maine (1)Minnesota (1)Nevada (1)Tennessee (1)Vermont (1)
Latest national polls
- HarrisX/Harris Poll Oct 26, 2026 — Kamala Harris 34%, Gavin Newsom 20%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
- Leger Oct 25, 2026 — Kamala Harris 22%, Gavin Newsom 14%, Pete Buttigieg 8%
- Echelon Insights Oct 19, 2026 — Kamala Harris 19%, Gavin Newsom 14%, Pete Buttigieg 13%
- The New York Times/Siena University Oct 19, 2026 — Kamala Harris 12%, Gavin Newsom 9%, Pete Buttigieg 7%
- Noble Predictive Insights Oct 7, 2026 — Kamala Harris 29%, Gavin Newsom 14%, Pete Buttigieg 10%
- Focaldata Oct 5, 2026 — Kamala Harris 30%, Gavin Newsom 15%, Pete Buttigieg 9%
- HarrisX/Harris Poll Sep 28, 2026 — Kamala Harris 38%, Gavin Newsom 17%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%
- McLaughlin & Associates Sep 22, 2026 — Kamala Harris 29%, Gavin Newsom 12%, Pete Buttigieg 9%
- Echelon Insights Sep 21, 2026 — Kamala Harris 24%, Gavin Newsom 14%, Pete Buttigieg 10%
- Big Data Poll Sep 15, 2026 — Kamala Harris 27%, Gavin Newsom 16%, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez 10%
- The Honest Poll Sep 13, 2026 — Kamala Harris 32%, Gavin Newsom 21%, Pete Buttigieg 13%
- Center for Strategic Politics Sep 10, 2026 — Kamala Harris 25%, Gavin Newsom 15%, Pete Buttigieg 13%
2028 calendar · Trump approval · 2028 Senate
A simple 30-day rolling average of national polls (VoteHub, The New York Times); only names included in at least three polls are listed. Declared candidates and exploratory committees as of Nov 7, 2026, per Wikipedia.
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