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2028 Democratic (North Carolina) Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8%, Andy Beshear at 2%, Gavin Newsom at 14.1%, Gretchen Whitmer at 2.9%, based on 2 polls ending between 7/30/2025 and 9/29/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Democratic (North Carolina) Presidential primary over time

2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8% Andy Beshear 2% Gavin Newsom 14.1% Gretchen Whitmer 2.9%
View data as table
2028 Democratic (North Carolina) Presidential primary over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8% 2 9/29/2026
Andy Beshear 2% 2 9/29/2026
Gavin Newsom 14.1% 2 9/29/2026
Gretchen Whitmer 2.9% 2 9/29/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 2 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Kamala Harris21.7%
Pete Buttigieg15.7%
Gavin Newsom12.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.1%
Josh Shapiro5.6%
Gretchen Whitmer3.1%
Andy Beshear2.9%
Bernie Sanders6.9%

Individual polls (2)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
9/29/2026 Big Data Poll
for Public Polling Project
281 LV
Kamala Harris (D)
31.3%
Pete Buttigieg (D)
14.5%
Gavin Newsom (D)
14.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
8%
Josh Shapiro (D)
7.9%
Mark Kelly (D)
5.4%
Jon Ossoff (D)
3%
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
2.9%
Andy Beshear (D)
2%
Stephen A. Smith (D)
0.9%
7/30/2025 Emerson College 421 LV
Pete Buttigieg (D)
16.8%
Kamala Harris (D)
12%
Gavin Newsom (D)
10.2%
Bernie Sanders (D)
6.9%
Cory Booker (D)
5.2%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
4.1%
Andy Beshear (D)
3.7%
Tim Walz (D)
3.3%
Josh Shapiro (D)
3.2%
Gretchen Whitmer (D)
3.2%
JB Pritzker (D)
2.7%
Wes Moore (D)
2.2%
Amy Klobuchar (D)
1%
Rahm Emanuel (D)
0.3%

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