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2028 Republican (North Carolina) Presidential primary

Our 21-day average puts Brian Kemp at 0.3%, Glenn Youngkin at 0.5%, JD Vance at 40.2%, Marco Rubio at 18.2%, based on 2 polls ending between 7/30/2025 and 9/29/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

2028 Republican (North Carolina) Presidential primary over time

2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Brian Kemp 0.3% Glenn Youngkin 0.5% JD Vance 40.2% Marco Rubio 18.2%
View data as table
2028 Republican (North Carolina) Presidential primary over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Brian Kemp 0.3% 2 9/29/2026
Glenn Youngkin 0.5% 2 9/29/2026
JD Vance 40.2% 2 9/29/2026
Marco Rubio 18.2% 2 9/29/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 2 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
JD Vance46.8%
Marco Rubio11.8%
Ron DeSantis8.3%
Robert F. Kennedy7.3%
Nikki Haley4%
Ted Cruz3.3%
Glenn Youngkin0.7%
Brian Kemp0.6%

Individual polls (2)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
9/29/2026 Big Data Poll
for Public Polling Project
331 LV
JD Vance (R)
40.2%
Marco Rubio (R)
18.2%
Robert F. Kennedy (R)
9.5%
Ron DeSantis (R)
9.2%
Nikki Haley (R)
5.2%
Ted Cruz (R)
4.2%
Rand Paul (R)
3.4%
Tucker Carlson (R)
1.1%
Tulsi Gabbard (R)
0.6%
Glenn Youngkin (R)
0.5%
Brian Kemp (R)
0.3%
Steve Bannon (R)
0.3%
7/30/2025 Emerson College 405 LV
JD Vance (R)
53.3%
Ron DeSantis (R)
7.4%
Marco Rubio (R)
5.3%
Robert F. Kennedy (R)
5.1%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
3%
Nikki Haley (R)
2.7%
Ted Cruz (R)
2.4%
Kristi Noem (R)
1%
Brian Kemp (R)
0.8%
Glenn Youngkin (R)
0.8%
Tulsi Gabbard (R)
0.5%
Scott Bessent (R)
0.4%

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