California polls
Every 2026 California race with polling: the average, the latest polls and, after the election, how far off they were.
| Race | Polls | Average (D−R) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | 9 | D+23.0 | – |
| CA-01 | 2 | D+14.5 | – |
| CA-04 | 1 | – | – |
| CA-06 | 2 | – | – |
| CA-07 | 1 | – | – |
| CA-11 | 1 | – | – |
| CA-14 | 1 | D+20.0 | – |
| CA-22 | 1 | – | – |
| CA-23 | 1 | R+43.1 | – |
| CA-34 | 2 | – | – |
| CA-40 | 2 | – | – |
| CA-48 | 3 | D+6.7 | – |
California Governor
Average: Xavier Becerra 59.2% · Steve Hilton 36.3%
| Ended | Pollster | Result | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | ActiVote | Xavier Becerra 63, Steve Hilton 37 | 400 |
| Oct 25 | UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies | Xavier Becerra 61, Steve Hilton 34 | 1,477 |
| Oct 24 | SurveyUSA | Xavier Becerra 54, Steve Hilton 32 | 799 |
| Oct 22 | Public Policy Institute of California | Xavier Becerra 61, Steve Hilton 37 | 1,086 |
| Oct 20 | McLaughlin & Associates | Xavier Becerra 55, Steve Hilton 39 | 800 |
| Oct 19 | Emerson College | Xavier Becerra 64, Steve Hilton 36 | 1,000 |
| Oct 16 | ActiVote | Xavier Becerra 63, Steve Hilton 37 | 400 |
| Oct 14 | University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Verasight/TrueDot | Xavier Becerra 55, Steve Hilton 35 | 909 |
| Oct 1 | Manhattan Institute | Xavier Becerra 57, Steve Hilton 39 | 1,000 |
| Sep 28 | IVC Media | Xavier Becerra 48, Steve Hilton 38 | 2,906 |
All California races → · Download the data → · Poll accuracy →
Polls: VoteHub and The New York Times. Average: Polling Desk. Results: civicAPI.


