CA-40 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
No market yet
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Young Kim (R)
38.5%
Ken Calvert (R)
34.5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Ken Calvert | Republican |
| Young Kim | Republican |
CA-40 House race: polls over time
7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Young Kim 38.5%
Ken Calvert 34.5%
Esther Kim-Varet 20%
Joe Kerr 4%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young Kim | 38.5% | 7 | 9/9/2026 |
| Ken Calvert | 34.5% | 6 | 9/9/2026 |
| Esther Kim-Varet | 20% | 4 | 5/4/2026 |
| Joe Kerr | 4% | 3 | 5/4/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots Targeting | 9/5–9/9 | 800 LV |
Ken Calvert (R)
Young Kim (R)
|
| Public Opinion Strategies | 8/17–8/20 | 400 LV |
Ken Calvert (R)
Young Kim (R)
|
| American Viewpoint | 7/8–7/12 | 400 LV |
Ken Calvert (R)
Young Kim (R)
|
| Tulchin Research | 4/30–5/4 | 500 LV |
Ken Calvert (R)
Young Kim (R)
Esther Kim-Varet (D)
Lisa Ramirez (D)
Joe Kerr (D)
Nina Linh (I)
Claude Keissieh (D)
|
| Public Opinion Strategies | 1/24–1/27 | 400 LV |
Young Kim (R)
Joe Kerr (D)
Ken Calvert (R)
Esther Kim-Varet (D)
|
| Tulchin Research | 1/14–1/19 | 800 LV |
Ken Calvert (R)
Young Kim (R)
Lisa Ramirez (D)
Esther Kim-Varet (D)
Joe Kerr (D)
Nina Linh (I)
Claude Keissieh (D)
|
| Tulchin Research | 1/14–1/19 | 800 LV |
Young Kim (R)
Esther Kim-Varet (D)
|