CA-34 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
>99% Dem
Rep <1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Democratic Party | 98% |
| Republican Party | <1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 95% | 10/29/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 4% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
Poll average
2 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)
49.5%
Jimmy Gomez (D)
41.5%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Jimmy Gomez | Democrat |
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | Democrat |
CA-34 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Angela Gonzales-Torres 49.5%
Jimmy Gomez 41.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Gonzales-Torres | 49.5% | 3 | 10/24/2026 |
| Jimmy Gomez | 41.5% | 3 | 10/24/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Southern California Democracy and Fair Elections Lab | 10/16–10/24 | 423 LV |
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)
Jimmy Gomez (D)
|
| Center for Strategic Politics | 10/8–10/12 | 416 LV |
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)
Jimmy Gomez (D)
|
| Upswing Research | 9/1–9/5 | 403 LV |
Angela Gonzales-Torres (D)
Jimmy Gomez (D)
|


