CA-07 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
99% Dem
Rep 1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Democratic Party | 98% |
| Republican Party | 1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/28/2026: 98% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 8% | 10/28/2026: 1% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · —
Mai Vang (D)
32%
Doris Matsui (D)
28%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Mai Vang | Democrat |
| Doris Matsui | Democrat |
CA-07 House race: polls over time
3 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Doris Matsui 28%
Mai Vang 32%
Enayat Nazhat 1%
George Yang 22%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 28% | 3 | 8/21/2026 |
| Mai Vang | 32% | 3 | 8/21/2026 |
| Enayat Nazhat | 1% | 1 | 3/23/2026 |
| George Yang | 22% | 1 | 3/23/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress | 8/18–8/21 | 651 LV |
Mai Vang (D)
Doris Matsui (D)
|
| Data for Progress | 5/1–5/5 | 572 LV |
Doris Matsui (D)
Mai Vang (D)
Zachariah Wooden (R)
Ralph Nwobi (R)
|
| Upswing Research | 3/17–3/23 | 400 LV |
Doris Matsui (D)
George Yang (R)
Mai Vang (D)
Kathryn Ming (R)
Robby Morin (D)
Enayat Nazhat (D)
|