CA-14 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
>99% Dem
Rep <1%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Democratic Party | >99% |
| Republican Party | <1% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/2/2026: 92% | 10/29/2026: >99% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/2/2026: 7% | 10/29/2026: <1% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · D+20.0
Aisha Wahab (D)
29%
Melissa Hernandez (D)
9%
Wendy Huang (R)
9%
Dena Maldonado (R)
8%
Rakhi Israni (D)
2%
Matt Ortega (D)
2%
Suzanne Chenault (I)
1%
Victor Aguilar, Jr. (D)
1%
Carin Elam (D)
0%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Melissa Hernandez | Democrat |
| Aisha Wahab | Democrat |
CA-14 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Aisha Wahab 29%
Carin Elam 0%
Dena Maldonado 8%
Matt Ortega 2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aisha Wahab | 29% | 1 | 4/4/2026 |
| Carin Elam | 0% | 1 | 4/4/2026 |
| Dena Maldonado | 8% | 1 | 4/4/2026 |
| Matt Ortega | 2% | 1 | 4/4/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Binder Research | 4/1–4/4 | — LV |
Aisha Wahab (D)
Melissa Hernandez (D)
Wendy Huang (R)
Dena Maldonado (R)
Rakhi Israni (D)
Matt Ortega (D)
Suzanne Chenault (I)
Victor Aguilar, Jr. (D)
Carin Elam (D)
|