Breaking House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET All updates Follow the live map

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Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.
Nov 5, 3:19 PM ET Michigan attorney general: Eli Savit (D) wins.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Christina Hines (D) wins MI-10, a seat held by John James (R), by 7.2 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: William Lawrence (D) defeats Tom Barrett (R) in MI-07, by 3.3 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Sean McCann (D) defeats Bill Huizenga (R) in MI-04, by 1.8 points.
Nov 5, 3:09 PM ET House flip: Jessica Killin (D) defeats Jeff Crank (R) in CO-05, by 4.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: Vermont attorney general: Charity R. Clark (D) wins; Vermont secretary of state: Sarah Copeland Hanzas (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: South Carolina attorney general: David Stumbo (R) wins; South Carolina secretary of state: Mark Hammond (R) wins; Texas lieutenant governor: Vikki Goodwin (D) wins; Texas attorney general: Nathan Johnson (D) wins; Vermont lieutenant governor: Molly Gray (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET House flip: Shannon Taylor (D) defeats Rob Wittman (R) in VA-01, by 2.3 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Kristina Knickerbocker (D) defeats Mike Turner (R) in OH-10, by 1.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Brent Taylor (R) wins TN-09, a seat held by Steve I Cohen (D), by 1.1 points.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Ohio secretary of state: Allison Russo (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Oklahoma voters reject State Question 847, 54% to 46%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Iowa secretary of state: Paul Pate (R) wins.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Louisiana voters approve Amendment 4, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Idaho voters reject Proposition 1: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:43 PM ET Statewide races called: Connecticut attorney general: William Tong (D) wins; Connecticut secretary of state: Stephanie Thomas (D) wins; Idaho lieutenant governor: Scott Bedke (R) wins; Idaho attorney general: Raúl Labrador (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET Statewide races called: Minnesota attorney general: Keith Ellison (D) wins; North Dakota attorney general: Drew Wrigley (R) wins; North Dakota secretary of state: Michael Howe (R) wins; South Dakota secretary of state: Heather Baxter (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET South Dakota voters reject Amendment I, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET North Dakota voters reject Constitutional Measure 1, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:06 PM ET House flip: Amish Shah (D) wins AZ-01, a seat held by David S. Schweikert (R), by 7.0 points.
Nov 4, 9:56 PM ET Indiana secretary of state: Beau Bayh (D) wins.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 319 - Require Voter Approval for Local Photo Enforcement Systems, 61% to 39%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 318 - Designate School Athletic Teams by Biological Sex, 59% to 41%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 317 - Designate Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations, 57% to 43%.
Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET Statewide races called: Arizona attorney general: Kris Mayes (D) wins; Arizona secretary of state: Adrian Fontes (D) wins.
Nov 4, 3:17 PM ET New Hampshire governor's race called: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) wins. Won by 4.7 points.
Nov 4, 2:51 PM ET Wisconsin voters approve Question 1 - Prohibit Partial Veto to Create or Increase Taxes or Fees, 51% to 49%.
Nov 4, 2:25 PM ET House flip: Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) wins NV-02, a seat held by Mark Eugene Amodei (R), by 6.6 points.
Nov 4, 2:18 PM ET House flip: Paul Barringer (D) defeats Brad Knott (R) in NC-13, by 2.4 points.

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Average result

Unweighted mean across 8,550 matching polls

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Average result
Choice	%
Approve	33.9%
Disapprove	55%
Unfavorable	48.9%
Favorable	40.5%
Rep	41.8%
Dem	45.9%
Josh Shapiro	11.4%
Gavin Newsom	18.8%

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Individual polls (8,550)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Type	Subject	Sample	Results
10/25/2025	University of North Florida for Florida Watch	Senate race	2026 Florida	728 LV	Ashley Moody (R) 49% Jennifer Jenkins (D) 38%
10/23/2025	Christopher Newport University	Governor race	2025 Virginia	803 LV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 50% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 43%
10/23/2025	Christopher Newport University	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	803 LV	Jay Jones (D) 45% Jason Miyares (R) 46%
10/23/2025	Clarity Campaign Labs	Generic ballot	2026	1,047 RV	Dem 47% Rep 46%
10/23/2025	Clarity Campaign Labs	Approval	Congress	1,046 RV	Approve 37% Disapprove 52%
10/23/2025	Clarity Campaign Labs	Approval	Donald Trump	1,047 RV	Approve 46% Disapprove 52%
10/23/2025	Clarity Campaign Labs	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,047 RV	Favorable 45% Unfavorable 52%
10/23/2025	Clarity Campaign Labs	Favorability	JD Vance	1,047 RV	Favorable 42% Unfavorable 44%
10/23/2025	Data for Progress	House race	2026 AK-01	823 RV	Nick Begich III 48% Matt Schultz (D) 37%
10/23/2025	Data for Progress	Senate race	2026 Alaska	823 LV	Mary Peltola (D) 46% Dan Sullivan (R) 45%
10/23/2025	Meeting Street Research	House race	2026 TX-02	400 LV	Dan Crenshaw (R) 47% Steve Toth (R) 19% Thomas Manning (R) 2% Ava Zolari (R) 2% Nicholas Plumb (R) 1% Martin Etwop (R) 1%
10/23/2025	NRSC	Senate race	2026 Maine	647 LV	Graham Platner (D) 46.2% Janet Mills (D) 24.8% Jordan Wood (D) 2.8%
10/23/2025	Public Policy Polling	Generic ballot	2026	594 RV	Rep 42% Dem 49%
10/23/2025	Quantus Insights	Senate race	2026 Georgia	1,320 RV	Mike Collins (R) 42% Derek Dooley (R) 24%
10/23/2025	Quantus Insights	Senate race	2026 Georgia	1,320 RV	Mike Collins (R) 28% Derek Dooley (R) 16% Buddy Carter (R) 16%
10/23/2025	University of Georgia for Atlanta Journal-Constitution	Senate race	2026 Georgia	1,000 LV	Mike Collins (R) 30% Buddy Carter (R) 20% Derek Dooley (R) 12%
10/23/2025	University of Georgia for Atlanta Journal-Constitution	Governor race	2026 Georgia	1,000 LV	Burt Jones (R) 22% Brad Raffensperger (R) 15% Chris Carr (R) 7% Clark Dean (R) 1%
10/23/2025	Victory Insights	Mayoral race	2025 New York City	500 LV	Zohran Mamdani (D) 47% Andrew Cuomo (O) 29% Curtis Sliwa (R) 16%
10/22/2025	Marquette University Law School	Governor race	2026 Wisconsin	378 RV	Francesca Hong (D) 6% Sara Rodriguez (D) 4% Kelda Roys (D) 3% David Crowley (D) 3% Missy Hughes (D) 2% Ryan Strand (D) 0%
10/22/2025	Marquette University Law School	Governor race	2026 Wisconsin	406 RV	Tom Tiffany (R) 23% Josh Schoemann (R) 6% Andy Manske (R) 0%
10/22/2025	McLaughlin & Associates	House race	2026 TX-09	400 LV	Briscoe Cain (R) 37% Alex Mealer (R) 16% Dwayne Stovall (R) 3% Dan Mims (R) 3% Peter Van Emmert (R) 1% Alexandria Butler (R) 1% Deddrick Wilmer (R) 0%
10/22/2025	RMG Research for Napolitan Institute	Approval	Donald Trump	3,000 RV	Approve 51% Disapprove 47%
10/21/2025	Bold Decision for California Chamber of Commerce	Governor race	2026 California	509 LV	Chad Bianco (R) 14% Steve Hilton (R) 13% Katie Porter (D) 12% Xavier Becerra (D) 8% Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 7% Tom Steyer (D) 7% Betty Yee (D) 4% Stephen Cloobeck (D) 2% Ian Calderon (D) 2% Tony Thurmond (D) 1%
10/21/2025	Emerson College	Proposition-50	2025 California	900 LV	Yes 60.3% No 39.7%
10/21/2025	Emerson College	Governor race	2026 California	900 LV	Steve Hilton (R) 15.7% Katie Porter (D) 14.7% Chad Bianco (R) 10.7% Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 5.2% Xavier Becerra (D) 5% Tony Thurmond (D) 2.7% Betty Yee (D) 1.6% Ian Calderon (D) 1.1% Stephen Cloobeck (D) 0.7%