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TX-09 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Alex Mealer at 48%, Leticia Gutierrez at 44.5%, Briscoe Cain at 25.5%, Dan Mims at 8%, based on 7 polls ending between 10/22/2025 and 10/22/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

TX-09 House race 2026 over time

7 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Alex Mealer 48% Leticia Gutierrez 44.5% Briscoe Cain 25.5% Dan Mims 8%
View data as table
TX-09 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Alex Mealer 48% 6 10/22/2026
Leticia Gutierrez 44.5% 4 10/22/2026
Briscoe Cain 25.5% 3 2/11/2026
Dan Mims 8% 3 2/11/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 7 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Alex Mealer36.7%
Leticia Gutierrez38%
Briscoe Cain29.3%
Dan Mims6.3%
Dwayne Stovall3.3%
Steve Stockman5%
Earnest Clayton5%
Terry Virts5%

Individual polls (7)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/22/2026 DCCC Targeting Team 490 LV
Alex Mealer (R)
48%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
47%
10/7/2026 University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs 677 LV
Alex Mealer (R)
48%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
42%
9/19/2026 Public Policy Polling 560 RV
Alex Mealer (R)
45%
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
39%
2/11/2026 Pulse Decision Science
for Club for Growth
400 LV
Alex Mealer (R)
29%
Briscoe Cain (R)
25%
Dan Mims (R)
6%
Steve Stockman (R)
6%
Dwayne Stovall (R)
3%
2/10/2026 University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs 400 LV
Alex Mealer (R)
34%
Briscoe Cain (R)
26%
Dan Mims (R)
10%
Dwayne Stovall (R)
4%
Steve Stockman (R)
4%
2/10/2026 University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs 400 LV
Leticia Gutierrez (D)
24%
Earnest Clayton (D)
5%
Terry Virts (D)
5%
Marty Rocha (D)
2%
Todd Ivey (D)
2%
Peter Filler (D)
1%
10/22/2025 McLaughlin & Associates 400 LV
Briscoe Cain (R)
37%
Alex Mealer (R)
16%
Dwayne Stovall (R)
3%
Dan Mims (R)
3%
Peter Van Emmert (R)
1%
Alexandria Butler (R)
1%
Deddrick Wilmer (R)
0%

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