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TX-02 House race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Steve Toth at 46%, Ava Zolari at 2%, Dan Crenshaw at 47%, Martin Etwop at 1%, based on 2 polls ending between 10/23/2025 and 10/4/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

TX-02 House race 2026 over time

2 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Steve Toth 46% Ava Zolari 2% Dan Crenshaw 47% Martin Etwop 1%
View data as table
TX-02 House race 2026 over time
Choice Latest average Polls Latest poll
Steve Toth 46% 2 10/4/2026
Ava Zolari 2% 1 10/23/2025
Dan Crenshaw 47% 1 10/23/2025
Martin Etwop 1% 1 10/23/2025

Average result

Unweighted mean across 2 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Steve Toth32.5%
Dan Crenshaw47%
Shaun Finnie37%
Ava Zolari2%
Thomas Manning2%
Martin Etwop1%
Nicholas Plumb1%

Individual polls (2)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/4/2026 Impact Research 501 LV
Steve Toth (R)
46%
Shaun Finnie (D)
37%
10/23/2025 Meeting Street Research 400 LV
Dan Crenshaw (R)
47%
Steve Toth (R)
19%
Thomas Manning (R)
2%
Ava Zolari (R)
2%
Nicholas Plumb (R)
1%
Martin Etwop (R)
1%

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