Latest House flip: Cait Conley (D) defeats Mike Lawler (R) in NY-17, by 4.4 points.Nov 5, 6:37 PM ET All updates Follow the live map

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Nov 5, 6:37 PM ET House flip: Cait Conley (D) defeats Mike Lawler (R) in NY-17, by 4.4 points.
Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.
Nov 5, 3:19 PM ET Michigan attorney general: Eli Savit (D) wins.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Christina Hines (D) wins MI-10, a seat held by John James (R), by 7.2 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: William Lawrence (D) defeats Tom Barrett (R) in MI-07, by 3.3 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Sean McCann (D) defeats Bill Huizenga (R) in MI-04, by 1.8 points.
Nov 5, 3:09 PM ET House flip: Jessica Killin (D) defeats Jeff Crank (R) in CO-05, by 4.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: Vermont attorney general: Charity R. Clark (D) wins; Vermont secretary of state: Sarah Copeland Hanzas (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: South Carolina attorney general: David Stumbo (R) wins; South Carolina secretary of state: Mark Hammond (R) wins; Texas lieutenant governor: Vikki Goodwin (D) wins; Texas attorney general: Nathan Johnson (D) wins; Vermont lieutenant governor: Molly Gray (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET House flip: Shannon Taylor (D) defeats Rob Wittman (R) in VA-01, by 2.3 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Kristina Knickerbocker (D) defeats Mike Turner (R) in OH-10, by 1.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Brent Taylor (R) wins TN-09, a seat held by Steve I Cohen (D), by 1.1 points.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Ohio secretary of state: Allison Russo (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Oklahoma voters reject State Question 847, 54% to 46%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Iowa secretary of state: Paul Pate (R) wins.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Louisiana voters approve Amendment 4, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Idaho voters reject Proposition 1: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:43 PM ET Statewide races called: Connecticut attorney general: William Tong (D) wins; Connecticut secretary of state: Stephanie Thomas (D) wins; Idaho lieutenant governor: Scott Bedke (R) wins; Idaho attorney general: Raúl Labrador (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET Statewide races called: Minnesota attorney general: Keith Ellison (D) wins; North Dakota attorney general: Drew Wrigley (R) wins; North Dakota secretary of state: Michael Howe (R) wins; South Dakota secretary of state: Heather Baxter (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET South Dakota voters reject Amendment I, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET North Dakota voters reject Constitutional Measure 1, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:06 PM ET House flip: Amish Shah (D) wins AZ-01, a seat held by David S. Schweikert (R), by 7.0 points.
Nov 4, 9:56 PM ET Indiana secretary of state: Beau Bayh (D) wins.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 319 - Require Voter Approval for Local Photo Enforcement Systems, 61% to 39%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 318 - Designate School Athletic Teams by Biological Sex, 59% to 41%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 317 - Designate Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations, 57% to 43%.
Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET Statewide races called: Arizona attorney general: Kris Mayes (D) wins; Arizona secretary of state: Adrian Fontes (D) wins.
Nov 4, 3:17 PM ET New Hampshire governor's race called: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) wins. Won by 4.7 points.
Nov 4, 2:51 PM ET Wisconsin voters approve Question 1 - Prohibit Partial Veto to Create or Increase Taxes or Fees, 51% to 49%.
Nov 4, 2:25 PM ET House flip: Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) wins NV-02, a seat held by Mark Eugene Amodei (R), by 6.6 points.

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Average result

Unweighted mean across 8,550 matching polls

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Average result
Choice	%
Approve	33.9%
Disapprove	55%
Unfavorable	48.9%
Favorable	40.5%
Rep	41.8%
Dem	45.9%
Josh Shapiro	11.4%
Gavin Newsom	18.8%

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Individual polls (8,550)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Type	Subject	Sample	Results
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,004 RV	Favorable 47% Unfavorable 47%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Favorability	JD Vance	1,004 RV	Favorable 40% Unfavorable 44%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Approval	JD Vance	1,004 RV	Approve 42% Disapprove 41%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Generic ballot	2026	1,004 RV	Dem 43% Rep 37%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners	Presidential primary	2028 Republican	325 RV	JD Vance (R) 41% Ron DeSantis (R) 8% Marco Rubio (R) 7% Eric Trump (R) 6% Ted Cruz (R) 4% Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 3% Nikki Haley (R) 3% Glenn Youngkin (R) 2% Kristi Noem (R) 2% Tim Scott (R) 1% Steve Bannon (R) 1% Scott Bessent (R) 1% Elise Stefanik (R) 0%
10/15/2025	Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC	House race	2026 AZ-06	581 LV	Juan Ciscomani (R) 41% JoAnna Mendoza (D) 42%
10/15/2025	Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC	House race	2026 WI-03	609 LV	Derrick Van Orden (R) 42% Rebecca Cooke (D) 44%
10/15/2025	St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics	Governor race	2026 Florida	1,034 LV	Byron Donalds (R) 39.2% Jay Collins (R) 3.7% Paul Renner (R) 2.7%
10/15/2025	Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	1,039 LV	Jay Jones (D) 44.6% Jason Miyares (R) 49.5%
10/15/2025	Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage	Governor race	2025 Virginia	1,039 LV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 47.5% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 45.3% Donna Charles (I) 0.8%
10/15/2025	YouGov for Issue One	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,036 RV	Favorable 47% Unfavorable 52%
10/14/2025	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	Governor race	2025 New Jersey	1,002 RV	Mikie Sherrill (D) 48% Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44%
10/14/2025	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	Governor race	2025 New Jersey	— LV	Mikie Sherrill (D) 50% Jack Ciattarelli (R) 45%
10/14/2025	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	Mayoral race	2025 New York City	793 LV	Zohran Mamdani (D) 52% Andrew Cuomo (O) 28% Curtis Sliwa (R) 14%
10/14/2025	Bowling Green State University	Governor race	2026 Ohio	800 RV	Vivek Ramaswamy (R) 50% Amy Acton (D) 47%
10/14/2025	Bowling Green State University/YouGov	Senate race	2026 Ohio	800 RV	Sherrod Brown (D) 49% Jon Husted (R) 48%
10/14/2025	Data for Progress for Indivisible \| Our Hawai‘i	House race	2026 HI-01	366 LV	Ed Case (D) 40% Della Au Belatti (D) 16% Jarrett Keohokalole (D) 12%
10/14/2025	Emerson College	Approval	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Approve 45.3% Disapprove 48.3%
10/14/2025	Emerson College	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Favorable 47.2% Unfavorable 47%
10/14/2025	Emerson College	Favorability	JD Vance	1,000 RV	Favorable 43.2% Unfavorable 43.2%
10/14/2025	Emerson College	Generic ballot	2026	1,000 RV	Dem 43.9% Rep 42.5%
10/14/2025	Emerson College	Presidential race	2028	1,000 RV	JD Vance (R) 45.5% Gavin Newsom (D) 44.9%
10/14/2025	Public Policy Institute of California for Arjay R. and Frances F. Miller Foundation	Proposition-50	2025 California	943 LV	Yes 56% No 43%
10/14/2025	Quantus Insights	Senate race	2026 Alabama	1,050 RV	Jared Hudson (R) 27% Steve Marshall (R) 24% Barry Moore (R) 9% Rodney Walker (R) 2% Morgan Murphy (R) 2%
10/14/2025	Quantus Insights	Governor race	2026 Alabama	1,050 RV	Tommy Tuberville (R) 63% Ken McFeeters (R) 4%