Latest House flip: Cait Conley (D) defeats Mike Lawler (R) in NY-17, by 4.4 points.Nov 5, 6:37 PM ET All updates Follow the live map

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Nov 5, 6:37 PM ET House flip: Cait Conley (D) defeats Mike Lawler (R) in NY-17, by 4.4 points.
Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.
Nov 5, 3:19 PM ET Michigan attorney general: Eli Savit (D) wins.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Christina Hines (D) wins MI-10, a seat held by John James (R), by 7.2 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: William Lawrence (D) defeats Tom Barrett (R) in MI-07, by 3.3 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Sean McCann (D) defeats Bill Huizenga (R) in MI-04, by 1.8 points.
Nov 5, 3:09 PM ET House flip: Jessica Killin (D) defeats Jeff Crank (R) in CO-05, by 4.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: Vermont attorney general: Charity R. Clark (D) wins; Vermont secretary of state: Sarah Copeland Hanzas (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: South Carolina attorney general: David Stumbo (R) wins; South Carolina secretary of state: Mark Hammond (R) wins; Texas lieutenant governor: Vikki Goodwin (D) wins; Texas attorney general: Nathan Johnson (D) wins; Vermont lieutenant governor: Molly Gray (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET House flip: Shannon Taylor (D) defeats Rob Wittman (R) in VA-01, by 2.3 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Kristina Knickerbocker (D) defeats Mike Turner (R) in OH-10, by 1.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Brent Taylor (R) wins TN-09, a seat held by Steve I Cohen (D), by 1.1 points.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Ohio secretary of state: Allison Russo (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Oklahoma voters reject State Question 847, 54% to 46%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Iowa secretary of state: Paul Pate (R) wins.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Louisiana voters approve Amendment 4, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Idaho voters reject Proposition 1: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:43 PM ET Statewide races called: Connecticut attorney general: William Tong (D) wins; Connecticut secretary of state: Stephanie Thomas (D) wins; Idaho lieutenant governor: Scott Bedke (R) wins; Idaho attorney general: Raúl Labrador (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET Statewide races called: Minnesota attorney general: Keith Ellison (D) wins; North Dakota attorney general: Drew Wrigley (R) wins; North Dakota secretary of state: Michael Howe (R) wins; South Dakota secretary of state: Heather Baxter (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET South Dakota voters reject Amendment I, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET North Dakota voters reject Constitutional Measure 1, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:06 PM ET House flip: Amish Shah (D) wins AZ-01, a seat held by David S. Schweikert (R), by 7.0 points.
Nov 4, 9:56 PM ET Indiana secretary of state: Beau Bayh (D) wins.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 319 - Require Voter Approval for Local Photo Enforcement Systems, 61% to 39%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 318 - Designate School Athletic Teams by Biological Sex, 59% to 41%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 317 - Designate Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations, 57% to 43%.
Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET Statewide races called: Arizona attorney general: Kris Mayes (D) wins; Arizona secretary of state: Adrian Fontes (D) wins.
Nov 4, 3:17 PM ET New Hampshire governor's race called: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) wins. Won by 4.7 points.
Nov 4, 2:51 PM ET Wisconsin voters approve Question 1 - Prohibit Partial Veto to Create or Increase Taxes or Fees, 51% to 49%.
Nov 4, 2:25 PM ET House flip: Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) wins NV-02, a seat held by Mark Eugene Amodei (R), by 6.6 points.

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Average result

Unweighted mean across 8,550 matching polls

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Average result
Choice	%
Approve	33.9%
Disapprove	55%
Unfavorable	48.9%
Favorable	40.5%
Rep	41.8%
Dem	45.9%
Josh Shapiro	11.4%
Gavin Newsom	18.8%

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Individual polls (8,550)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Type	Subject	Sample	Results
10/16/2025	KAConsulting for Change NJ	Governor race	2025 New Jersey	601 LV	Mikie Sherrill (D) 47% Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44%
10/16/2025	MDW Communications	House race	2026 IL-09	917 LV	Daniel Biss (D) 18% Kat Abughazaleh (D) 13% Laura Fine (D) 9%
10/16/2025	RMG Research for Napolitan Institute	Approval	Donald Trump	3,000 RV	Approve 52% Disapprove 47%
10/16/2025	The Argument/Verasight	Approval	Donald Trump	1,530 RV	Approve 44% Disapprove 54%
10/16/2025	The Argument/Verasight	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,530 RV	Favorable 44% Unfavorable 54%
10/16/2025	The Argument/Verasight	Favorability	JD Vance	1,530 RV	Favorable 42% Unfavorable 49%
10/16/2025	The Argument/Verasight	Generic ballot	2026	1,530 RV	Dem 51% Rep 49%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Approval	Donald Trump	1,200 A	Approve 42% Disapprove 52%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Approval	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Approve 42% Disapprove 53%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Approval	Congress	1,200 A	Approve 32% Disapprove 55%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Approval	Congress	1,000 RV	Approve 32% Disapprove 57%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,200 A	Favorable 44% Unfavorable 51%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Favorable 45% Unfavorable 51%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Favorability	JD Vance	1,200 A	Favorable 39% Unfavorable 45%
10/16/2025	The Bullfinch Group for The Independent Center	Favorability	JD Vance	1,000 RV	Favorable 42% Unfavorable 46%
10/16/2025	The Winston Group for Winning the Issues	Generic ballot	2026	1,000 RV	Dem 47% Rep 43%
10/16/2025	The Winston Group for Winning the Issues	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Favorable 40% Unfavorable 58%
10/16/2025	The Winston Group for Winning the Issues	Approval	Donald Trump	1,000 RV	Approve 38% Disapprove 55%
10/15/2025	Alaska Survey Research	Senate race	2026 Alaska	1,708 LV	Mary Peltola (D) 48% Dan Sullvian 46%
10/15/2025	Alaska Survey Research	Presidential primary	2028 Democratic (Alaska)	315 RV	Gavin Newsom (D) 23% Pete Buttigieg (D) 20% Kamala Harris (D) 19% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 17% Tim Walz (D) 7% JB Pritzker (D) 6% Gretchen Whitmer (D) 5% Andy Beshear (D) 3% Josh Shapiro (D) 2%
10/15/2025	Fairleigh Dickinson	Governor race	2025 New Jersey	814 LV	Mikie Sherrill (D) 52% Jack Ciattarelli (R) 45%
10/15/2025	Gotham Polling & Analytics for AARP	Mayoral race	2025 New York City	1,040 LV	Zohran Mamdani (D) 43% Andrew Cuomo (O) 29% Curtis Sliwa (R) 19%
10/15/2025	InsiderAdvantage	Governor race	2025 New Jersey	800 LV	Mikie Sherrill (D) 45.4% Jack Ciattarelli (R) 44.3%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Approval	Donald Trump	1,004 RV	Approve 46% Disapprove 44%
10/15/2025	J.L. Partners for DailyMail.com	Approval	Donald Trump	1,004 RV	Approve 51% Disapprove 49%