Florida governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Byron Donalds at 48.5%, David Jolly at 43.9%, Jay Collins at 15.3%, Paul Renner at 6.5%, based on 81 polls ending between 4/6/2024 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Florida governor's race 2026 over time
81 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Byron Donalds 48.5%
David Jolly 43.9%
Jay Collins 15.3%
Paul Renner 6.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 48.5% | 69 | 10/27/2026 |
| David Jolly | 43.9% | 45 | 10/27/2026 |
| Jay Collins | 15.3% | 21 | 7/29/2026 |
| Paul Renner | 6.5% | 20 | 7/29/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 81 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 42.6% |
| David Jolly | 38.6% |
| Jay Collins | 8.2% |
| Paul Renner | 5.9% |
| James Fishback | 9.3% |
| Casey DeSantis | 32.8% |
| Jerry Demings | 31.3% |
| Wilton Simpson | 3% |
Individual polls (81)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/27/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
916 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/25/2026 | The New York Times/Siena University | 813 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/23/2026 |
Echelon Insights
for NetChoice |
515 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
Scott Jewett
|
| 10/20/2026 | co/efficient | 1,014 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/19/2026 | ActiVote | 400 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/19/2026 | University of North Florida | 1,378 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/15/2026 |
YouGov
for N+ Univision |
825 RV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/11/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 1,200 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/10/2026 |
Change Research
for Freedom Project USA |
920 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/10/2026 |
MDW Communications
for EDGE Communications |
2,351 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/9/2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 716 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/7/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
836 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/5/2026 | YouGov | 3,813 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 10/4/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute |
857 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 10/4/2026 | Targoz Market Research | 1,200 RV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 10/1/2026 |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for NBC 6 Miami | Telemundo |
625 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 9/27/2026 |
Change Research
for Freedom Project USA |
1,063 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 9/21/2026 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 830 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 9/17/2026 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
913 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 9/9/2026 |
Change Research
for Freedom Project USA |
1,107 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 8/13/2026 |
Hart Research Associates
for Democratic Governors Association |
600 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 7/29/2026 |
Quantus Insights
for America First Insight |
635 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute |
1,026 RV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 7/26/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute |
1,027 LV |
Jay Collins (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 7/22/2026 | The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 1,020 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Paul Renner (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
|