Florida governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Byron Donalds at 48.5%, David Jolly at 43.9%, Jay Collins at 15.3%, Paul Renner at 6.5%, based on 81 polls ending between 4/6/2024 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Florida governor's race 2026 over time
81 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Byron Donalds 48.5%
David Jolly 43.9%
Jay Collins 15.3%
Paul Renner 6.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 48.5% | 69 | 10/27/2026 |
| David Jolly | 43.9% | 45 | 10/27/2026 |
| Jay Collins | 15.3% | 21 | 7/29/2026 |
| Paul Renner | 6.5% | 20 | 7/29/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 81 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 42.6% |
| David Jolly | 38.6% |
| Jay Collins | 8.2% |
| Paul Renner | 5.9% |
| James Fishback | 9.3% |
| Casey DeSantis | 32.8% |
| Jerry Demings | 31.3% |
| Wilton Simpson | 3% |
Individual polls (81)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/17/2026 | University of North Florida | 848 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 7/16/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 400 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 7/13/2026 | Cygnal Political | 500 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 7/11/2026 | The Tyson Group | 600 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 6/9/2026 | Kaplan Strategies | 668 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
Frank Russo (I)
|
| 6/7/2026 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for Associated Industries of Florida |
386 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 6/3/2026 | The Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 973 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
|
| 5/16/2026 |
Change Research
for Freedom Project USA |
1,593 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 5/9/2026 |
Cherry Communications
for Florida Chamber of Commerce |
604 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 4/30/2026 |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
for Friends of Byron Donalds |
420 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 4/27/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 687 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 4/27/2026 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 687 LV |
James Fishback (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 4/13/2026 | Stetson University | 848 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jerry Demings (D)
|
| 4/9/2026 |
Echelon Insights
for NetChoice |
406 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 4/9/2026 |
Echelon Insights
for NetChoice |
406 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jerry Demings (D)
|
| 4/3/2026 |
MDW Communications
for Edge Communications |
1,834 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 4/2/2026 |
Tarrance Group
for Leading the Future |
466 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Bobby Williams (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Charles Burkett (R)
|
| 3/31/2026 | Emerson College | 1,125 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 3/2/2026 | University of North Florida | 786 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 3/2/2026 | University of North Florida | — LV |
Jerry Demings (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 2/26/2026 | The American Promise | 800 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 2/22/2026 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
471 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Jerry Demings (D)
|
| 2/20/2026 | Public Sentiment Institute | 200 RV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 2/20/2026 | University of North Florida | 657 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Casey DeSantis (R)
James Fishback (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 2/16/2026 | Targoz Market Research | 1,200 RV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|