Florida governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Byron Donalds at 48.5%, David Jolly at 43.9%, Jay Collins at 15.3%, Paul Renner at 6.5%, based on 81 polls ending between 4/6/2024 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Florida governor's race 2026 over time
81 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Byron Donalds 48.5%
David Jolly 43.9%
Jay Collins 15.3%
Paul Renner 6.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 48.5% | 69 | 10/27/2026 |
| David Jolly | 43.9% | 45 | 10/27/2026 |
| Jay Collins | 15.3% | 21 | 7/29/2026 |
| Paul Renner | 6.5% | 20 | 7/29/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 81 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 42.6% |
| David Jolly | 38.6% |
| Jay Collins | 8.2% |
| Paul Renner | 5.9% |
| James Fishback | 9.3% |
| Casey DeSantis | 32.8% |
| Jerry Demings | 31.3% |
| Wilton Simpson | 3% |
Individual polls (81)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1/29/2026 | Patriot Polling | 827 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
James Fishback (R)
|
| 1/13/2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | 400 RV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
James Fishback (R)
|
| 1/13/2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | 400 RV |
David Jolly (D)
Jerry Demings (D)
|
| 1/6/2026 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 600 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 12/11/2025 |
Public Opinion Strategies
for Florida Fighters |
700 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
|
| 12/9/2025 | The American Promise | 800 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 12/3/2025 |
Public Policy Polling
for Moving Florida Forward |
616 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Jerry Demings (D)
|
| 11/19/2025 | The American Promise | 800 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
|
| 11/13/2025 | Victory Insights | 600 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Jay Collins (R)
James Fishback (R)
|
| 10/25/2025 |
University of North Florida
for Florida Watch |
728 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 10/25/2025 |
University of North Florida
for Florida Watch |
728 LV |
Jerry Demings (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 10/15/2025 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
1,034 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jay Collins (R)
Paul Renner (R)
|
| 9/18/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
1,118 RV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 9/9/2025 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 631 LV |
Paul Renner (R)
David Jolly (D)
|
| 9/5/2025 | The American Promise | 800 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Jay Collins (R)
|
| 8/27/2025 |
Cygnal Political
for Conservatives for Clean Energy |
1,000 LV |
Generic Republican (R)
Generic Democrat (D)
|
| 8/27/2025 |
McLaughlin & Associates
for Associated Industries of Florida |
800 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 7/22/2025 | University of North Florida | 797 RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Byron Donalds (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
Francis Suarez (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
|
| 7/10/2025 |
St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics |
831 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
Paul Renner (R)
Jay Collins (R)
|
| 6/10/2025 | Victory Insights | 600 LV |
David Jolly (D)
Byron Donalds (R)
|
| 5/7/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
1,144 RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Daniella Levine Cava (D)
Jay Pizzo (I)
|
| 5/7/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
516 RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Byron Donalds (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
Jeanette Nuñez (R)
Francis Suarez (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
Charles Burkett (R)
Ashton Hayward (R)
|
| 5/7/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
396 RV |
Daniella Levine Cava (D)
Gwen Graham (D)
David Jolly (D)
Fentrice Driskell (D)
Lauren Brook (D)
Angie Nixon (D)
Shevrin Jones (D)
|
| 4/22/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
619 RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Byron Donalds (R)
Jeanette Nuñez (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
Francis Suarez (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
Charles Burkett (R)
Ashton Hayward (R)
|
| 4/22/2025 |
Targoz Market Research
for James Madison Institute |
464 RV |
Jason Pizzo (D)
Daniella Levine Cava (D)
David Jolly (D)
Gwen Graham (D)
Lauren Brook (D)
Angie Nixon (D)
Shevrin Jones (D)
Fentrice Driskell (D)
|