Florida governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Byron Donalds at 48.5%, David Jolly at 43.9%, Jay Collins at 15.3%, Paul Renner at 6.5%, based on 81 polls ending between 4/6/2024 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Florida governor's race 2026 over time
81 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Byron Donalds 48.5%
David Jolly 43.9%
Jay Collins 15.3%
Paul Renner 6.5%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 48.5% | 69 | 10/27/2026 |
| David Jolly | 43.9% | 45 | 10/27/2026 |
| Jay Collins | 15.3% | 21 | 7/29/2026 |
| Paul Renner | 6.5% | 20 | 7/29/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 81 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 42.6% |
| David Jolly | 38.6% |
| Jay Collins | 8.2% |
| Paul Renner | 5.9% |
| James Fishback | 9.3% |
| Casey DeSantis | 32.8% |
| Jerry Demings | 31.3% |
| Wilton Simpson | 3% |
Individual polls (81)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2/27/2025 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | 600 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Casey DeSantis (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
|
| 1/27/2025 | Victory Insights | 850 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Jeanette Nuñez (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
Francis Suarez (R)
|
| 10/28/2024 | Cygnal Political | 600 LV |
Generic Republican (R)
Generic Democrat (D)
|
| 6/9/2024 | Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | — RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Byron Donalds (R)
Ashley Moody (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
Jimmy Patronis (R)
|
| 4/17/2024 | Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | — RV |
Casey DeSantis (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
|
| 4/6/2024 | Victory Insights | 1,200 LV |
Byron Donalds (R)
Matt Gaetz (R)
Michael Waltz (R)
Jimmy Patronis (R)
Wilton Simpson (R)
|