Tennessee polls
Every 2026 Tennessee race with polling: the average, the latest polls and, after the election, how far off they were.
| Race | Polls | Average (D−R) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | 1 | R+20.0 | – |
| Governor | 2 | R+15.5 | – |
| TN-05 | 1 | R+5.0 | – |
| TN-09 | 1 | R+4.0 | – |
Tennessee Senate
Average: Bill Hagerty 57.0% · Marquita Bradshaw 37.0%
| Ended | Pollster | Result | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Targoz Market Research | Bill Hagerty 57, Marquita Bradshaw 37 | 716 |
| Aug 26 | Targoz Market Research | Bill Hagerty 51, Marquita Bradshaw 31 | 1,157 |
Tennessee Governor
Average: Marsha Blackburn 49.0% · Jerri Green 33.5% · David Hatley 9.5% · Lauren Pinkston 1.0%
| Ended | Pollster | Result | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | Targoz Market Research | Marsha Blackburn 54, Jerri Green 35, David Hatley 7 | 718 |
| Oct 16 | Spry Strategies | Marsha Blackburn 44, Jerri Green 32, David Hatley 12 | 635 |
| Sep 12 | TargetSmart | Marsha Blackburn 45, Jerri Green 36, David Hatley 19 | 600 |
| Aug 26 | Targoz Market Research | Marsha Blackburn 46, Jerri Green 33, Independent 8 | 1,149 |
| Jul 28 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Marsha Blackburn 42, John Rose 25, Monty Fritts 22 | 800 |
| Jul 25 | OnMessage Inc. | Marsha Blackburn 35, John Rose 31, Monty Fritts 26 | 800 |
| Jun 30 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | Marsha Blackburn 51, John Rose 20, Monty Fritts 12 | 800 |
| Jun 30 | McLaughlin & Associates | Marsha Blackburn 44, John Rose 29, Monty Fritts 12 | 600 |
| Apr 27 | Targoz Market Research | Marsha Blackburn 51, Jerri Green 27 | 1,157 |
| Mar 24 | VictoryPhones | Marsha Blackburn 56, John Rose 14, Monty Fritts 11 | 300 |
All Tennessee races → · Download the data → · Poll accuracy →
Polls: VoteHub and The New York Times. Average: Polling Desk. Results: civicAPI.