TN-09 House race
Election day: Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Market odds
Chance of winning, from prediction-market prices
19% Dem
Rep 81%
| Market | Outcome | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket (opens in a new tab) | Justin Pearson | 19% |
| Brent Taylor | 81% |
View data as table
| Series | First | Latest |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket · Democrats | 5/1/2026: 33% | 10/28/2026: 19% |
| Polymarket · Republicans | 5/1/2026: 66% | 10/28/2026: 81% |
Poll average
1 polls in the last 30 days of polling · R+4.0
Brent Taylor (R)
48%
Justin Pearson (D)
44%
On the ballot
Results appear here as votes are counted on election night.
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Justin Pearson | Democrat |
| Brent Taylor | Republican |
TN-09 House race: polls over time
1 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Brent Taylor 48%
Justin Pearson 44%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Taylor | 48% | 1 | 9/3/2026 |
| Justin Pearson | 44% | 1 | 9/3/2026 |
Latest polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates | 9/1–9/3 | 400 LV |
Justin Pearson (D)
Brent Taylor (R)
|