Latest House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET All updates Follow the live map

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Nov 5, 3:26 PM ET House flip: Zack Mullock (D) defeats Jeff Van Drew (R) in NJ-02, by 2.6 points.
Nov 5, 3:19 PM ET Michigan attorney general: Eli Savit (D) wins.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Christina Hines (D) wins MI-10, a seat held by John James (R), by 7.2 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: William Lawrence (D) defeats Tom Barrett (R) in MI-07, by 3.3 points.
Nov 5, 3:18 PM ET House flip: Sean McCann (D) defeats Bill Huizenga (R) in MI-04, by 1.8 points.
Nov 5, 3:09 PM ET House flip: Jessica Killin (D) defeats Jeff Crank (R) in CO-05, by 4.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: Vermont attorney general: Charity R. Clark (D) wins; Vermont secretary of state: Sarah Copeland Hanzas (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET Statewide races called: South Carolina attorney general: David Stumbo (R) wins; South Carolina secretary of state: Mark Hammond (R) wins; Texas lieutenant governor: Vikki Goodwin (D) wins; Texas attorney general: Nathan Johnson (D) wins; Vermont lieutenant governor: Molly Gray (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:49 PM ET House flip: Shannon Taylor (D) defeats Rob Wittman (R) in VA-01, by 2.3 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Kristina Knickerbocker (D) defeats Mike Turner (R) in OH-10, by 1.6 points.
Nov 5, 2:48 PM ET House flip: Brent Taylor (R) wins TN-09, a seat held by Steve I Cohen (D), by 1.1 points.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Ohio secretary of state: Allison Russo (D) wins.
Nov 5, 2:47 PM ET Oklahoma voters reject State Question 847, 54% to 46%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Iowa secretary of state: Paul Pate (R) wins.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Louisiana voters approve Amendment 4, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:45 PM ET Idaho voters reject Proposition 1: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 2:43 PM ET Statewide races called: Connecticut attorney general: William Tong (D) wins; Connecticut secretary of state: Stephanie Thomas (D) wins; Idaho lieutenant governor: Scott Bedke (R) wins; Idaho attorney general: Raúl Labrador (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET Statewide races called: Minnesota attorney general: Keith Ellison (D) wins; North Dakota attorney general: Drew Wrigley (R) wins; North Dakota secretary of state: Michael Howe (R) wins; South Dakota secretary of state: Heather Baxter (R) wins.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET South Dakota voters reject Amendment I, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:19 PM ET North Dakota voters reject Constitutional Measure 1, 56% to 44%.
Nov 5, 12:06 PM ET House flip: Amish Shah (D) wins AZ-01, a seat held by David S. Schweikert (R), by 7.0 points.
Nov 4, 9:56 PM ET Indiana secretary of state: Beau Bayh (D) wins.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 319 - Require Voter Approval for Local Photo Enforcement Systems, 61% to 39%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 318 - Designate School Athletic Teams by Biological Sex, 59% to 41%.
Nov 4, 5:02 PM ET Arizona voters approve Proposition 317 - Designate Drug Cartels as Terrorist Organizations, 57% to 43%.
Nov 4, 5:00 PM ET Statewide races called: Arizona attorney general: Kris Mayes (D) wins; Arizona secretary of state: Adrian Fontes (D) wins.
Nov 4, 3:17 PM ET New Hampshire governor's race called: Kelly Ayotte (Republican) wins. Won by 4.7 points.
Nov 4, 2:51 PM ET Wisconsin voters approve Question 1 - Prohibit Partial Veto to Create or Increase Taxes or Fees, 51% to 49%.
Nov 4, 2:25 PM ET House flip: Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) wins NV-02, a seat held by Mark Eugene Amodei (R), by 6.6 points.
Nov 4, 2:18 PM ET House flip: Paul Barringer (D) defeats Brad Knott (R) in NC-13, by 2.4 points.

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Average result

Unweighted mean across 8,550 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Approve	33.9%
Disapprove	55%
Unfavorable	48.9%
Favorable	40.5%
Rep	41.8%
Dem	45.9%
Josh Shapiro	11.4%
Gavin Newsom	18.8%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (8,550)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Type	Subject	Sample	Results
10/20/2025	Global Strategy Group for Navigator Research	Favorability	JD Vance	1,000 RV	Favorable 39% Unfavorable 47%
10/20/2025	Ipsos	Approval	Donald Trump	4,385 A	Approve 42% Disapprove 56%
10/20/2025	Ipsos for Reuters	Generic ballot	2026	—	Dem 41% Rep 38%
10/20/2025	Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota \| South Dakota News Watch	Governor race	2026 South Dakota	502 RV	Dusty Johnson (R) 28% Larry Rhoden (R) 27% Toby Doeden (R) 15% Jon Hansen (R) 10%
10/20/2025	Quantus Insights	Governor race	2025 Virginia	1,302 LV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 51% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 46%
10/20/2025	Quantus Insights	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	1,302 LV	Jay Jones (D) 42% Jason Miyares (R) 49%
10/20/2025	Quinnipiac University	Approval	Donald Trump	1,327 RV	Approve 40% Disapprove 54%
10/20/2025	Quinnipiac University	Generic ballot	2026	1,327 RV	Dem 50% Rep 41%
10/20/2025	State Navigate	Governor race	2025 Virginia	689 LV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 55% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 42%
10/20/2025	State Navigate	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	689 LV	Jay Jones (D) 50% Jason Miyares (R) 45%
10/20/2025	University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov	Favorability	JD Vance	1,000 A	Favorable 36% Unfavorable 44%
10/20/2025	University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,000 A	Favorable 38% Unfavorable 51%
10/20/2025	University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov	Approval	Donald Trump	1,000 A	Approve 42% Disapprove 58%
10/20/2025	University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGov	Generic ballot	2026	1,000 A	Dem 38% Rep 35%
10/20/2025	University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov	Presidential race	2028	1,000 A	JD Vance (R) 34% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 34%
10/20/2025	Washington Post/George Mason University	Governor race	2025 Virginia	— LV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 54% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 42%
10/20/2025	Washington Post/George Mason University	Governor race	2025 Virginia	927 RV	Abigail Spanberger (D) 53% Winsome Earle-Sears (R) 40%
10/20/2025	Washington Post/George Mason University	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	— LV	Jay Jones (D) 46% Jason Miyares (R) 46%
10/20/2025	Washington Post/George Mason University	Attorney general race	2025 Virginia	927 RV	Jay Jones (D) 44% Jason Miyares (R) 44%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Approval	Donald Trump	1,621 A	Approve 39% Disapprove 56%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Approval	Donald Trump	1,448 RV	Approve 43% Disapprove 55%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,621 A	Favorable 40% Unfavorable 57%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Favorability	Donald Trump	1,448 RV	Favorable 42% Unfavorable 56%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Generic ballot	2026	1,621 A	Dem 40% Rep 35%
10/20/2025	YouGov for The Economist	Generic ballot	2026	1,448 RV	Dem 45% Rep 40%