South Dakota governor's race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Larry Rhoden at 54.7%, Dusty Johnson at 21.2%, Jon Hansen at 18.3%, Toby Doeden at 24.2%, based on 11 polls ending between 4/14/2025 and 10/20/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
South Dakota governor's race 2026 over time
11 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Larry Rhoden 54.7%
Dusty Johnson 21.2%
Jon Hansen 18.3%
Toby Doeden 24.2%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Rhoden | 54.7% | 11 | 10/20/2026 |
| Dusty Johnson | 21.2% | 7 | 5/20/2026 |
| Jon Hansen | 18.3% | 7 | 5/20/2026 |
| Toby Doeden | 24.2% | 7 | 5/20/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 11 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Larry Rhoden | 33.9% |
| Dusty Johnson | 27.6% |
| Toby Doeden | 16.8% |
| Jon Hansen | 12.9% |
| Daniel P. Ahlers | 39.3% |
| Dan Ahlers | 41% |
| Marty Jackley | 18% |
Individual polls (11)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2026 |
Emerson College
for KELO-TV |
803 LV |
Larry Rhoden (R)
Dan Ahlers
|
| 10/14/2026 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. | 500 LV |
Larry Rhoden (R)
Daniel P. Ahlers (D)
|
| 10/8/2026 |
Concord Public Opinion Partners
for Education Reform Now Advocacy |
400 LV |
Larry Rhoden (R)
Daniel P. Ahlers (D)
|
| 8/30/2026 | Lake Research Partners | 500 LV |
Larry Rhoden (R)
Daniel P. Ahlers (D)
|
| 5/20/2026 |
Meeting Street Research
for Conservative Agenda for America |
450 LV |
Larry Rhoden (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
Dusty Johnson (R)
|
| 5/19/2026 |
Emerson College
for KELO-TV |
432 LV |
Toby Doeden (R)
Dusty Johnson (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
|
| 4/11/2026 |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota | South Dakota News Watch |
500 RV |
Dusty Johnson (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
|
| 3/9/2026 |
Emerson College
for KELO-TV | Nexstar |
413 LV |
Dusty Johnson (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
|
| 3/5/2026 | Public Opinion Strategies | 400 LV |
Dusty Johnson (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
|
| 10/20/2025 |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota | South Dakota News Watch |
502 RV |
Dusty Johnson (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
|
| 4/14/2025 |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota | South Dakota News Watch |
500 RV |
Dusty Johnson (R)
Larry Rhoden (R)
Marty Jackley (R)
Toby Doeden (R)
Jon Hansen (R)
|