Trafalgar Group poll
Fielded 10/31/2026 – 11/1/2026 · 1,087 respondents · Likely voters
Result
Share of respondents (remainder shown as undecided / other)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
47.1%
Mike Rogers (R)
45.9%
Lydia Christensen (L)
1.5%
Timothy Long (O)
0.3%
Douglas Marsh (G)
0.3%
About this poll
- Pollster
- Trafalgar Group
- Field dates
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 – Sunday, November 1, 2026
- Sample
- 1,087 · Likely voters
- Sponsors
- —
- Internal poll
- No
- Partisan
- REP
- Published
- Monday, November 2, 2026
- Source
- www.thetrafalgargroup.org (opens in a new tab)
- Data feed
- The New York Times (via PollResults.org)
- Last updated