Topic

Michigan Senate race 2026

Our 21-day average puts Mike Rogers at 45.7%, Abdul El-Sayed at 48.5%, Haley Stevens at 41.2%, Mallory McMorrow at 2.1%, based on 108 polls ending between 3/6/2025 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Michigan Senate race 2026 over time

108 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls

Mike Rogers 45.7% Abdul El-Sayed 48.5% Haley Stevens 41.2% Mallory McMorrow 2.1%

View data as table

Michigan Senate race 2026 over time
Choice	Latest average	Polls	Latest poll
Mike Rogers	45.7%	88	10/27/2026
Abdul El-Sayed	48.5%	74	10/27/2026
Haley Stevens	41.2%	38	7/31/2026
Mallory McMorrow	2.1%	31	7/30/2026

Average result

Unweighted mean across 108 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Mike Rogers	43.9%
Abdul El-Sayed	43.1%
Haley Stevens	36.4%
Mallory McMorrow	26.1%
Lydia Christensen	1.4%
Douglas P. Marsh	0.6%
Tim Long	0.6%
Walter P. Kristy	0.5%

Individual polls (108)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/27/2026	Mitchell Research & Communications for CBS Detroit	636 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51% Mike Rogers (R) 44%
10/22/2026	Glengariff Group, Inc. for The Detroit News, WDIV-TV	600 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51.4% Mike Rogers (R) 45.1%
10/22/2026	InsiderAdvantage	1,200 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47% Mike Rogers (R) 46%
10/19/2026	Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov	836 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48% Mike Rogers (R) 45.5%
10/18/2026	Marist University	— LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 50% Mike Rogers (R) 48%
10/10/2026	InsiderAdvantage	1,200 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47.8% Mike Rogers (R) 45.5% Lydia Christensen (L) 0.7% Timothy Long (O) 0.4% Douglas Marsh (G) 0.2%
10/8/2026	The Tyson Group for Alliance for a Better Future	600 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 44% Mike Rogers (R) 46%
10/6/2026	Quantus Insights	744 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48.4% Mike Rogers (R) 47.2% Lydia Christensen (L) 0.8% Douglas Marsh (G) 0.7% Timothy Long (O) 0.3%
10/4/2026	YouGov	3,947 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 49% Mike Rogers (R) 48%
10/1/2026	Mitchell Research & Communications	682 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 46% Mike Rogers (R) 41% Lydia Christensen (L) 3% Tim Long 1% Douglas P. Marsh 1% Walter P. Kristy 2%
10/1/2026	Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising	483 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 49% Mike Rogers (R) 42% Lydia Christensen (L) 3%
9/30/2026	Trafalgar Group	1,085 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47% Mike Rogers (R) 45% Lydia Christensen (L) 2% Tim Long 1% Douglas P. Marsh 0% Walter P. Kristy 0%
9/28/2026	Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for Fox News	1,028 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 50% Mike Rogers (R) 49%
9/27/2026	Guidant Polling and Strategy for Public First Action	800 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48% Mike Rogers (R) 43% Lydia Christensen (L) 1% Tim Long 1% Douglas P. Marsh 0% Walter P. Kristy 0%
9/27/2026	Marist University	1,235 RV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 51% Mike Rogers (R) 44%
9/27/2026	The Tyson Group for Alliance for a Better Future	600 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 44% Mike Rogers (R) 43%
9/24/2026	Big Data Poll for Public Polling Project	678 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 46.7% Mike Rogers (R) 42.1%
9/23/2026	co/efficient	843 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 50% Mike Rogers (R) 50%
9/22/2026	GBAO for Senate Majority PAC	800 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48% Mike Rogers (R) 44%
9/22/2026	The New York Times/Siena University	605 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 49% Mike Rogers (R) 44%
9/21/2026	Cygnal/Beacon Research for Michigan Enjoyer	600 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 45% Mike Rogers (R) 40% Lydia Christensen (L) 1% Tim Long 0% Douglas P. Marsh 0% Walter P. Kristy 0%
9/20/2026	Suffolk University	500 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 47% Mike Rogers (R) 40% Lydia Christensen (L) 1% Tim Long 0% Douglas P. Marsh 0% Walter P. Kristy 1%
9/19/2026	Torchlight Strategies for Common Sense for America PAC	643 LV	Mike Rogers (R) 44.4% Abdul El-Sayed (D) 43.1%
9/17/2026	InsiderAdvantage	1,200 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 46.6% Mike Rogers (R) 44.7% Lydia Christensen (L) 1.4% Timothy Long (O) 1.1% Douglas Marsh (G) 0.8%
9/14/2026	Emerson College for Nexstar Media	1,000 LV	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 48.2% Mike Rogers (R) 45.7% Lydia Christensen (L) 0.5% Tim Long 0.6% Douglas P. Marsh 3% Walter P. Kristy 0.3%

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Michigan Senate race 2026

Michigan Senate race 2026 over time

Average result

Individual polls (108)

Michigan Senate race 2026 over time

Average result

Individual polls (108)

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