Michigan Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Mike Rogers at 45.7%, Abdul El-Sayed at 48.5%, Haley Stevens at 41.2%, Mallory McMorrow at 2.1%, based on 108 polls ending between 3/6/2025 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Michigan Senate race 2026 over time
108 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mike Rogers 45.7%
Abdul El-Sayed 48.5%
Haley Stevens 41.2%
Mallory McMorrow 2.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 45.7% | 88 | 10/27/2026 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 48.5% | 74 | 10/27/2026 |
| Haley Stevens | 41.2% | 38 | 7/31/2026 |
| Mallory McMorrow | 2.1% | 31 | 7/30/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 108 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 43.9% |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 43.1% |
| Haley Stevens | 36.4% |
| Mallory McMorrow | 26.1% |
| Lydia Christensen | 1.4% |
| Douglas P. Marsh | 0.6% |
| Tim Long | 0.6% |
| Walter P. Kristy | 0.5% |
Individual polls (108)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9/14/2026 | The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government | 803 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 9/9/2026 | Trafalgar Group | 1,079 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
Lydia Christensen (L)
Tim Long
Douglas P. Marsh
Walter P. Kristy
|
| 9/6/2026 | CNN/SSRS | 843 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 9/3/2026 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit News | WDIV-TV |
600 LV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
|
| 8/28/2026 | Abacus Data | 332 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/28/2026 | EPIC-MRA | 600 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/20/2026 | Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 779 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/20/2026 | Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov | 913 RV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/17/2026 | Susquehanna Polling & Research | 800 RV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/11/2026 |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research
for AARP |
877 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/10/2026 |
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research
for Fox News |
1,006 RV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/10/2026 |
GBAO Strategies
for Senate Majority PAC |
800 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 8/10/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,528 RV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/31/2026 |
EPIC-MRA
for MIRS |
600 LV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
|
| 7/31/2026 |
EPIC-MRA
for MIRS |
600 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/30/2026 |
Zenith Research
for Fighting for Michigan PAC |
536 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 7/29/2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 672 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/29/2026 | Mitchell Research & Communications | 672 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/27/2026 |
Emerson College
for WLNS TV 6 | WOOD TV 8 |
700 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 7/27/2026 | Tavern Research | 914 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 7/24/2026 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Michigan Education Association, Business Leaders For Michigan |
600 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/24/2026 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Michigan Education Association, Business Leaders for Michigan |
600 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 7/15/2026 |
Tulchin Research
for Fighting for Michigan PAC |
500 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
|
| 7/14/2026 |
Data for Progress
for American Priorities |
614 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
|
| 7/11/2026 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit News | WDIV-TV |
500 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|