Michigan Senate race 2026
Our 21-day average puts Mike Rogers at 45.7%, Abdul El-Sayed at 48.5%, Haley Stevens at 41.2%, Mallory McMorrow at 2.1%, based on 108 polls ending between 3/6/2025 and 10/27/2026. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.
Michigan Senate race 2026 over time
108 polls · 21-day rolling average · dots are individual polls
Mike Rogers 45.7%
Abdul El-Sayed 48.5%
Haley Stevens 41.2%
Mallory McMorrow 2.1%
View data as table
| Choice | Latest average | Polls | Latest poll |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 45.7% | 88 | 10/27/2026 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 48.5% | 74 | 10/27/2026 |
| Haley Stevens | 41.2% | 38 | 7/31/2026 |
| Mallory McMorrow | 2.1% | 31 | 7/30/2026 |
Average result
Unweighted mean across 108 matching polls
View data as table
| Choice | % |
|---|---|
| Mike Rogers | 43.9% |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 43.1% |
| Haley Stevens | 36.4% |
| Mallory McMorrow | 26.1% |
| Lydia Christensen | 1.4% |
| Douglas P. Marsh | 0.6% |
| Tim Long | 0.6% |
| Walter P. Kristy | 0.5% |
Individual polls (108)
| End date | Pollster | Sample | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7/2026 | Tavern Research | 2,211 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 6/30/2026 | Quantus Insights | 947 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/30/2026 | Quantus Insights | 947 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/30/2026 | Quantus Insights | 947 LV |
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/28/2026 |
Tulchin Research
for Fighting for Michigan PAC |
500 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 6/22/2026 |
Data for Progress
for Working Families Party PAC |
709 LV |
Mike Rogers (R)
Haley Stevens (D)
|
| 6/14/2026 | Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. | 205 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 6/14/2026 |
Zenith Research
for Common Defense |
602 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/14/2026 |
Zenith Research
for Common Defense |
602 LV |
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/14/2026 |
Zenith Research
for Common Defense |
602 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/13/2026 |
Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service |
827 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 6/13/2026 |
Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS News Service |
409 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 6/4/2026 |
Tulchin Research
for Fighting for Michigan PAC |
500 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/28/2026 | Lake Research Partners | 600 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 5/25/2026 |
Tulchin Research
for Fighting for Michigan PAC |
500 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Haley Stevens (D)
Mallory McMorrow (D)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,163 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,456 RV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,163 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,456 RV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,163 LV |
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/23/2026 |
TIPP Insights
for League of American Workers |
1,456 RV |
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/7/2026 |
Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS |
607 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/7/2026 |
Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS |
606 LV |
Mallory McMorrow (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/7/2026 |
Mitchell Research & Communications
for MIRS |
606 LV |
Haley Stevens (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|
| 5/1/2026 |
Glengariff Group, Inc.
for Detroit Regional Chamber |
600 LV |
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Mike Rogers (R)
|