Trafalgar Group poll
Fielded 9/7/2026 – 9/9/2026 · 1,079 respondents · Likely voters
Result
Share of respondents (remainder shown as undecided / other)
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
46.3%
Mike Rogers (R)
44.8%
Lydia Christensen (L)
0.8%
Tim Long
0.7%
Douglas P. Marsh
0.4%
Walter P. Kristy
0.2%
About this poll
- Pollster
- Trafalgar Group
- Field dates
- Monday, September 7, 2026 – Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Sample
- 1,079 · Likely voters
- Sponsors
- —
- Internal poll
- No
- Partisan
- REP
- Published
- Friday, September 11, 2026
- Source
- www.thetrafalgargroup.org (opens in a new tab)
- Data feed
- VoteHub
- Last updated


