Where did the polls miss?
The gap between the final polling average and the result in each state's Senate and governor races. Blue: the polls underestimated Democrats; red: they underestimated Republicans.
Votes are being counted: this page updates every minute.
- Underestimated D by 3+
- Underestimated D by 0.5–3
- On target (±0.5)
- Underestimated R by 0.5–3
- Underestimated R by 3+
The map fills in as races with polls are called.
Poll accuracy, race by race → · Pollster ratings →
Miss: the result's margin (D−R) minus Polling Desk's final polling average; states with two races average them. Results: civicAPI, on the latest count.