5 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map
Topic

Polls about 2026 Florida

Every tracked poll about 2026 Florida, newest first. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Average result

Unweighted mean across 122 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Byron Donalds42.6%
David Jolly38.6%
Ashley Moody47.4%
Angie Nixon39.6%
Jay Collins8.2%
Paul Renner5.9%
James Fishback9.3%
Alexander Vindman42.1%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (122)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
7/13/2026 Cygnal Political 500 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
43%
James Fishback (R)
12%
Jay Collins (R)
11%
Paul Renner (R)
2%
7/11/2026 The Tyson Group 600 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
48%
Jay Collins (R)
9%
James Fishback (R)
8%
Paul Renner (R)
4%
6/14/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,273 RV
Alexander Vindman (D)
43%
Ashley Moody (R)
46%
6/14/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,015 LV
Alexander Vindman (D)
46%
Ashley Moody (R)
46%
6/9/2026 Kaplan Strategies 668 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
34.9%
David Jolly (D)
29.8%
Frank Russo (I)
7.1%
6/7/2026 McLaughlin & Associates
for Associated Industries of Florida
800 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
47%
Alexander Vindman (D)
40%
6/7/2026 McLaughlin & Associates
for Associated Industries of Florida
386 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
54%
James Fishback (R)
8%
Jay Collins (R)
5%
Paul Renner (R)
2%
6/3/2026 The Political Matrix/The Listener Group 973 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
29%
Paul Renner (R)
14%
Jay Collins (R)
11%
James Fishback (R)
2%
5/21/2026 Global Strategy Group 1,000 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
46%
Alexander Vindman (D)
43%
5/16/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
2,070 LV
Alexander Vindman (D)
47%
Ashley Moody (R)
45%
5/16/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,593 LV
David Jolly (D)
46%
Byron Donalds (R)
42%
5/16/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,593 LV
Alexander Vindman (D)
47%
Ashley Moody (R)
45%
5/9/2026 Cherry Communications
for Florida Chamber of Commerce
604 LV
Alexander Vindman (D)
40%
Ashley Moody (R)
48%
5/9/2026 Cherry Communications
for Florida Chamber of Commerce
604 LV
David Jolly (D)
39%
Byron Donalds (R)
47%
4/30/2026 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
for Friends of Byron Donalds
420 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
54%
James Fishback (R)
9%
Jay Collins (R)
7%
Paul Renner (R)
2%
4/27/2026 The Public Sentiment Institute 687 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
40%
David Jolly (D)
40%
4/27/2026 The Public Sentiment Institute 687 LV
James Fishback (R)
43%
David Jolly (D)
38%
4/13/2026 Stetson University 848 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
46%
Jerry Demings (D)
42%
4/13/2026 Stetson University 848 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
49%
Alexander Vindman (D)
42%
4/13/2026 Stetson University 848 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
51%
Angie Nixon (D)
38%
4/9/2026 Echelon Insights
for NetChoice
406 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
50%
Alexander Vindman (D)
43%
4/9/2026 Echelon Insights
for NetChoice
406 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
49%
David Jolly (D)
43%
4/9/2026 Echelon Insights
for NetChoice
406 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
48%
Jerry Demings (D)
44%
4/3/2026 MDW Communications
for EDGE Communications
1,834 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
43%
Alexander Vindman (D)
42%
4/3/2026 MDW Communications
for Edge Communications
1,834 LV
David Jolly (D)
40.5%
Byron Donalds (R)
41.2%

Accessibility options

These settings are saved in this browser only.

Text size
Display
Reading

Every chart also has a data table. See our accessibility statement.

Ad changes apply from the next page you open.