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Polls about 2026 Florida

Every tracked poll about 2026 Florida, newest first. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Average result

Unweighted mean across 122 matching polls
View data as table
Average result
Choice%
Byron Donalds42.6%
David Jolly38.6%
Ashley Moody47.4%
Angie Nixon39.6%
Jay Collins8.2%
Paul Renner5.9%
James Fishback9.3%
Alexander Vindman42.1%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (122)

Polls, newest first
End date Pollster Sample Results
10/4/2026 Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
857 LV
David Jolly (D)
42%
Byron Donalds (R)
52%
10/4/2026 Targoz Market Research 1,200 RV
David Jolly (D)
39%
Byron Donalds (R)
48%
10/4/2026 Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
857 LV
Angie Nixon (D)
42%
Ashley Moody (R)
52%
10/4/2026 Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
1,200 RV
Angie Nixon (D)
38%
Ashley Moody (R)
50%
10/1/2026 Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for NBC 6 Miami | Telemundo
625 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
50%
Angie Nixon (D)
40%
Neil Gillespie (I)
2%
10/1/2026 Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.
for NBC 6 Miami | Telemundo
625 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
48%
David Jolly (D)
41%
9/27/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,063 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
46%
David Jolly (D)
48%
9/27/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,063 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
48%
Angie Nixon (D)
47%
9/21/2026 InsiderAdvantage 600 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
49.3%
Angie Nixon (D)
41.8%
Neil Gillespie (I)
2.4%
9/21/2026 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research 830 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
51%
David Jolly (D)
39%
9/21/2026 Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research 830 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
51%
Angie Nixon (D)
40%
9/17/2026 St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
913 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
43.5%
David Jolly (D)
43.4%
9/17/2026 St. Pete Polls
for Florida Politics
913 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
45.2%
Angie Nixon (D)
44.8%
9/10/2026 Quantus Insights 733 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
50.1%
Angie Nixon (D)
42.7%
9/9/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,107 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
47%
Angie Nixon (D)
47%
9/9/2026 Change Research
for Freedom Project USA
1,107 LV
David Jolly (D)
47%
Byron Donalds (R)
44%
8/13/2026 Hart Research Associates
for Democratic Governors Association
600 LV
David Jolly (D)
46%
Byron Donalds (R)
45%
7/29/2026 Quantus Insights
for America First Insight
635 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
49.6%
Jay Collins (R)
15.7%
James Fishback (R)
12.4%
Paul Renner (R)
3.5%
7/26/2026 Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
1,026 RV
Byron Donalds (R)
45%
David Jolly (D)
38%
7/26/2026 Targoz Market Research
for The James Madison Institute
1,027 LV
Jay Collins (R)
44%
David Jolly (D)
39%
7/22/2026 The Political Matrix/The Listener Group 1,020 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
32.2%
Paul Renner (R)
18.8%
James Fishback (R)
13.1%
Jay Collins (R)
2.2%
7/17/2026 University of North Florida 848 LV
Ashley Moody (R)
50%
Alexander Vindman (D)
40%
7/17/2026 University of North Florida 848 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
46%
David Jolly (D)
41%
7/17/2026 University of North Florida 848 LV
Angie Nixon (D)
42%
Ashley Moody (R)
50%
7/16/2026 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates 400 LV
Byron Donalds (R)
53%
Jay Collins (R)
10%
James Fishback (R)
9%
Paul Renner (R)
4%

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