5 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map

Topic

Polls about 2026 Texas

Every tracked poll about 2026 Texas, newest first. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Average result

Unweighted mean across 214 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Ken Paxton	41.7%
James Talarico	45.9%
Gina Hinojosa	45.6%
Greg Abbott	49.5%
John Cornyn	33%
Wesley Hunt	19.5%
Ted Brown	2.5%
Pat Dixon	2.1%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (214)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
10/30/2025	Harper Polling	614 LV	John Cornyn (R) 25.5% Ken Paxton (R) 25% Wesley Hunt (R) 23.6%
10/29/2025	Impact Research	836 LV	James Talarico (D) 48% Colin Allred (D) 42%
10/10/2025	Hunt Research	1,097 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 28% John Cornyn (R) 24% Wesley Hunt (R) 19%
10/8/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	839 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 34% John Cornyn (R) 31% Wesley Hunt (R) 24%
10/6/2025	Cygnal Political for Plymouth Union Public Advocacy	600 LV	John Cornyn (R) 47% Generic Democrat (D) 40%
10/1/2025	University of Houston/Texas Southern University	1,650 RV	Ken Paxton (R) 49% James Talarico (D) 46%
10/1/2025	University of Houston/Texas Southern University	1,650 RV	John Cornyn (R) 48% James Talarico (D) 45%
9/28/2025	Deep Root Analytics for Texans for a Conservative Majority	1,142 LV	John Cornyn (R) 33% Ken Paxton (R) 28% Wesley Hunt (R) 21%
9/24/2025	University of Texas at Tyler	1,032 RV	Ken Paxton (R) 38% James Talarico (D) 37%
9/24/2025	University of Texas at Tyler	1,032 RV	John Cornyn (R) 41% James Talarico (D) 35%
9/22/2025	Ragnar Research Partners for One Nation	760 LV	John Cornyn (R) 32% Ken Paxton (R) 31% Wesley Hunt (R) 17%
9/16/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	842 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 38% John Cornyn (R) 28% Wesley Hunt (R) 23%
8/29/2025	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	843 RV	Rep 49% Dem 43%
8/29/2025	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	843 RV	Generic Republican (R) 48% Generic Democrat (D) 43%
8/29/2025	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	278 RV	Beto O’Rourke (D) 27% Jasmine Crockett (D) 26% Colin Allred (D) 13% James Talarico (D) 7% Joaquin Castro (D) 4%
8/29/2025	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	346 RV	John Cornyn (R) 32% Ken Paxton (R) 26%
8/27/2025	co/efficient	818 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 39% John Cornyn (R) 36%
8/26/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	725 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 38% John Cornyn (R) 28% Wesley Hunt (R) 23%
8/18/2025	GBAO	800 LV	Colin Allred (D) 49% Ken Paxton (R) 47%
8/12/2025	Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center	1,500 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 38% John Cornyn (R) 33% Ronny Jackson (R) 15%
8/12/2025	Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center	1,500 LV	Colin Allred (D) 52% Joaquin Castro (D) 41%
8/12/2025	Emerson College	1,000 RV	Ken Paxton (R) 45.9% Colin Allred (D) 40.6%
8/12/2025	Emerson College	370 RV	Colin Allred (D) 57.7% Emily Morgul (D) 3.8% Michael Swanson (D) 3.2% Terry Virts (D) 0.9%
8/12/2025	Emerson College	491 RV	John Cornyn (R) 29.5% Ken Paxton (R) 28.7% Leo Wyatt (R) 1.3% Barrett McNabb (R) 0.8% Virgil Bierschwale (R) 0.7% Andrew Alvarez (R) 0.5% Tony Schmoker (R) 0.5% Rennie Hill Mann (R) 0.5% Gulrez Khan (R) 0.2% Alexander Duncan (R) 0.1%
8/6/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	800 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 37% John Cornyn (R) 29% Wesley Hunt (R) 23%