5 days 2026 midterms: Tuesday, November 3. Live results here on election night — see the projections now. How to vote Projections map

Topic

Polls about 2026 Texas

Every tracked poll about 2026 Texas, newest first. Dots on the chart are individual polls; the line is the rolling average. How to read these numbers.

Average result

Unweighted mean across 214 matching polls

View data as table

Average result
Choice	%
Ken Paxton	41.7%
James Talarico	45.9%
Gina Hinojosa	45.6%
Greg Abbott	49.5%
John Cornyn	33%
Wesley Hunt	19.5%
Ted Brown	2.5%
Pat Dixon	2.1%

Pick a poll type (and subject) to see the trend over time.

Individual polls (214)

Polls, newest first
End date	Pollster	Sample	Results
1/31/2026	University of Houston/YouGov	1,502 LV	Greg Abbott (R) 49% Gina Hinojosa (D) 42%
1/31/2026	University of Houston/YouGov	1,502 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 46% James Talarico (D) 44%
1/31/2026	University of Houston/YouGov	1,502 LV	John Cornyn (R) 44% James Talarico (D) 43%
1/21/2026	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	1,290 LV	Jasmine Crockett (D) 38% James Talarico (D) 37%
1/21/2026	Slingshot Strategies for Texas Public Opinion Research	1,290 LV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 29% Chris Bell (D) 4% Bobby Cole (D) 3% Zach Vance (D) 1%
1/15/2026	HIT Strategies	1,005 LV	Jasmine Crockett (D) 46% James Talarico (D) 33%
1/12/2026	Emerson College for Nexstar Media	1,165 RV	Greg Abbott (R) 50.2% Gina Hinojosa (D) 42.3%
1/12/2026	Emerson College	1,165 RV	Ken Paxton (R) 45.6% James Talarico (D) 45.6%
1/12/2026	Emerson College	1,165 RV	John Cornyn (R) 46.9% James Talarico (D) 44.1%
1/12/2026	Emerson College for Nexstar Media	1,165 RV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 42.3% Greg Abbott (R) 50.2%
1/7/2026	Harper Polling	600 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 30.5% John Cornyn (R) 26.2% Wesley Hunt (R) 22.5%
12/17/2025	Pulse Decision Science for Lone Star Liberty PAC	809 LV	John Cornyn (R) 38% Ken Paxton (R) 38% Wesley Hunt (R) 16%
12/11/2025	Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center	1,600 LV	Jasmine Crockett (D) 51% James Talarico (D) 43%
12/11/2025	Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center	1,600 LV	Gina Hinojosa (D) 41% Andrew White (D) 6% Chris Bell (D) 5% Bobby Cole (D) 3% Angela Villescaz (D) 1% Jose Navarro Balbuena (D) 1%
12/4/2025	Impact Research	800 LV	Jasmine Crockett (D) 52% James Talarico (D) 35%
12/4/2025	McLaughlin & Associates for Standing For Texas	800 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 33% Wesley Hunt (R) 28% John Cornyn (R) 27%
12/3/2025	J.L. Partners	600 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 29% John Cornyn (R) 24% Wesley Hunt (R) 24%
12/3/2025	co/efficient	1,022 LV	John Cornyn (R) 28% Ken Paxton (R) 27% Wesley Hunt (R) 19%
12/2/2025	Public Policy Polling for Senate Majority PAC	527 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 32% Wesley Hunt (R) 22% John Cornyn (R) 22%
11/26/2025	Change Research for Agave Social Welfare Fund	1,189 RV	Ken Paxton (R) 50% Jasmine Crockett (D) 42%
11/25/2025	Peak Insights for Texans for a Conservative Majority	600 LV	John Cornyn (R) 35% Ken Paxton (R) 33% Wesley Hunt (R) 18%
11/22/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	857 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 36% Wesley Hunt (R) 26% John Cornyn (R) 25%
11/17/2025	Ragnar Research Partners	1,000 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 44% James Talarico (D) 44%
11/17/2025	Ragnar Research Partners	1,000 LV	John Cornyn (R) 46% James Talarico (D) 40%
11/6/2025	Stratus Intelligence for Standing For Texas	811 LV	Ken Paxton (R) 34% John Cornyn (R) 27% Wesley Hunt (R) 26%